Wizards vs. Pacers Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Wizards vs. Pacers prediction for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, spread, and game total.
NBA
NBA sport icon
NBA
Wizards
Predicted score
111
:
115
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

Pacers -4.5
Spread
  • Wizards
    46.7%
    BetRiversBetRivers
  • Pacers
    53.3%
    BetRiversBetRivers
Projected Box Score
Wizards
Player PtsRebAst
A. Davis
T. Young
A. Dybantsa
K. George
A. Sarr
Pacers
Player PtsRebAst
P. Siakam
A. Nembhard
A. Nesmith
O. Toppin
I. Zubac

Wizards vs. Pacers prediction & analysis

Game overview: NBA Wednesday

  • Teams: Washington Wizards vs. Indiana Pacers
  • Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
  • Tip-off: 7:00PM ET
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Wizards (+4.5, -127), Pacers (-4.5, +102)
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points (-104/+102)
  • Moneyline: Wizards +140, Pacers -141

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Wizards: 36.5%
  • Pacers: 63.5%

Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Wizards 111 and Pacers 115.

This is a margin of 4 points against a spread of 4.5, and a projected total of 226 points against a market line of 225.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Wizards a win probability of 36.5%, while the Pacers have a win probability of 63.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pacers are more likely to beat the Wizards in the NBA game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Wizards vs. Pacers, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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