Celtics vs. Raptors prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 11, 2026

The Boston Celtics are favored to beat the Toronto Raptors at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' NBA model.

Our Celtics vs. Raptors prediction gives Boston a 66.5% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on the Celtics moneyline, too.

Celtics vs. Raptors key predictions

• Predicted score: Celtics 110-105 Raptors
• Celtics win probability: 66.5%
• Raptors win probability: 33.5%
• Raptors +4.5 spread: 51.4% cover probability
• Over 215.5 points: 53.5% probability

Our NBA predictions project each team's score based on player performance, expected minutes, matchups, availability, and home-court advantage.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities from these projections, comparing them against current odds to find betting value.

Celtics vs. Raptors odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Celtics moneyline: 65¢ (Novig)
• Raptors moneyline: 35¢ (Polymarket)
• Celtics -4.5: 51¢ (Novig)
• Raptors +4.5: 49¢ (Polymarket)
• Over 215.5 points: 50¢ (Novig)
• Under 215.5 points: 51¢ (Novig)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Celtics vs. Raptors pick: Celtics ML (65¢)

Our model makes the Celtics the likelier winner, and our best value bet is the Celtics moneyline at 65¢ on Novig, too.

Those odds give Celtics an implied win probability of 65.0%, while our model puts it at 66.5%.

That's a 4.2% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

Celtics vs. Raptors player projections

Dimers' NBA player projections cover points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent performance, expected minutes, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.

Celtics star Jayson Tatum leads the scoring projections for this matchup with 24.2 points, plus 7.1 rebounds and 6.2 assists. The Celtics have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Raptors' two.

Top 5 projected scorers

1. Jayson Tatum (Celtics): 24.2 points
2. RJ Barrett (Raptors): 19.7
3. Immanuel Quickley (Raptors): 17.6
4. Payton Pritchard (Celtics): 15.7
5. Derrick White (Celtics): 13.5

Projections are estimates, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to judge value.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
• Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams
• Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks

Celtics vs. Raptors game details

• Matchup: Boston Celtics vs. Toronto Raptors
• Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our NBA models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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