Jazz vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jazz vs. Mavericks NBA game on January 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
NBA
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
NBA sport icon
NBA
Jazz
122
144
American Airlines Center
Mavericks
American Airlines Center
TEAM1234T
Jazz
24 26 40 30 122
Mavericks
35 35 51 21 144
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Jazz
    <1%
  • Mavericks
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Jazz
24 26 40 30 122
Mavericks
35 35 51 21 144
Q4 00:16 Jazz makes two point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)
Q4 00:37 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:44 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:47 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:02 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:39 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:15 Mavericks makes three point jump shot
Q4 4:49 Jazz makes three point jump shot
Q4 5:20 Walter Clayton Jr. makes three point running pullup jump shot
Q4 5:55 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:16
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)
    122-144
  2. Q4 00:35
    Jeremiah Robinson-Earl offensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:37
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:44
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  5. Q4 1:43
    Cody Williams defensive rebound
  6. Q4 1:47
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  7. Q4 1:57
    Jeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound
  8. Q4 2:09
    Jazz personal foul
  9. Q4 2:09
    Jazz defensive rebound
  10. Q4 2:26
    Mavericks personal foul
  11. Q4 2:26
    Jazz offensive rebound
  12. Q4 2:41
    Cody Williams defensive rebound
  13. Q4 3:02
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    120-140
  14. Q4 3:31
    Mavericks personal foul
  15. Q4 3:31
    +1
    Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    120-140
  16. Q4 3:39
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  17. Q4 3:53
    Isaiah Collier offensive rebound
  18. Q4 4:15
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    120-140
  19. Q4 4:37
    Mavericks turnover
  20. Q4 4:49
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    107-134
  21. Q4 5:20
    +3
    Walter Clayton Jr. makes three point running pullup jump shot
    114-137
  22. Q4 5:24
    Cody Williams defensive rebound
  23. Q4 5:44
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  24. Q4 5:47
    Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, Moussa Cisse, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl)
  25. Q4 5:55
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    107-134
  26. Q4 7:25
    Mavericks turnover
  27. Q4 7:31
    Instant replay (Request)
  28. Q4 8:06
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    107-134
  29. Q4 8:18
    Cody Williams misses three point jump shot
  30. Q4 8:25
    Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
  31. Q4 8:28
    Ace Bailey shooting foul (Jaden Hardy draws the foul)
  32. Q4 8:28
    +1
    Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    95-124
  33. Q4 8:28
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Brice Sensabaugh, Isaiah Collier, Cody Williams, Ace Bailey)
  34. Q4 9:01
    +1
    Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-121
  35. Q4 9:01
    Mavericks lineup change (Miles Kelly, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams)
  36. Q4 9:12
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    90-121
  37. Q4 9:41
    +2
    Ace Bailey makes two point dunk
    90-121
  38. Q4 10:04
    +3
    Brice Sensabaugh makes three point running jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)
    90-121
  39. Q4 10:11
    Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
  40. Q4 10:47
    +3
    Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot
    90-121
  41. Q4 10:52
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  42. Q4 10:54
    Kyle Anderson misses two point jump shot
  43. Q4 11:08
    Ryan Nembhard misses two point jump shot
  44. Q4 11:18
    +2
    Walter Clayton Jr. makes two point jump shot
    90-121
  45. Q4 11:44
    Klay Thompson turnover
  46. Q4 12:00
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Brice Sensabaugh, Walter Clayton Jr., Cody Williams, Ace Bailey)
  47. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  48. Q4 12:00
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  49. Q3 00:01
    +3
    Brice Sensabaugh makes three point jump shot
    90-121
  50. Q3 00:03
    Jazz offensive rebound
  51. Q3 00:03
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  52. Q3 00:43
    Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
  53. Q3 00:46
    Klay Thompson misses two point jump shot
  54. Q3 1:16
    Brice Sensabaugh misses three point jump shot
  55. Q3 1:16
    Ace Bailey turnover (lost ball)
  56. Q3 1:43
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  57. Q3 1:53
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Brice Sensabaugh, Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Ace Bailey)
  58. Q3 1:53
    Jazz personal foul
  59. Q3 2:21
    +3
    Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    76-112
  60. Q3 2:31
    Kyle Anderson misses two point driving floating jump shot
  61. Q3 2:41
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    95-123
  62. Q3 3:15
    Moussa Cisse blocks Taylor Hendricks's two point driving layup
  63. Q3 3:31
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  64. Q3 3:50
    Jazz turnover
  65. Q3 4:01
    Jeremiah Robinson-Earl turnover (offensive foul)
  66. Q3 4:08
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  67. Q3 4:36
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    66-99
  68. Q3 4:41
    Mavericks turnover
  69. Q3 4:47
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  70. Q3 4:47
    Kyle Anderson personal foul
  71. Q3 5:05
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    66-99
  72. Q3 5:19
    +3
    Caleb Martin makes three point jump shot
    66-99
  73. Q3 5:21
    Naji Marshall offensive rebound
  74. Q3 5:34
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  75. Q3 5:45
    Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse)
  76. Q3 5:45
    Mavericks personal foul
  77. Q3 5:45
    Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse)
  78. Q3 5:53
    Caleb Martin offensive rebound
  79. Q3 5:56
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  80. Q3 6:07
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  81. Q3 6:09
    Mavericks personal foul
  82. Q3 6:09
    Kyle Anderson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  83. Q3 6:28
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  84. Q3 6:28
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Keyonte George, Brice Sensabaugh, Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks)
  85. Q3 6:33
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  86. Q3 6:37
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  87. Q3 7:16
    +3
    Keyonte George makes three point jump shot
    66-99
  88. Q3 7:27
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    66-99
  89. Q3 7:34
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    66-99
  90. Q3 7:51
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    66-99
  91. Q3 8:05
    +1
    Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    66-99
  92. Q3 8:18
    +1
    Ace Bailey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    52-81
  93. Q3 8:18
    Mavericks personal foul
  94. Q3 8:43
    Isaiah Collier offensive rebound
  95. Q3 8:43
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    66-99
  96. Q3 9:11
    Jazz turnover
  97. Q3 9:14
    Jazz offensive rebound
  98. Q3 9:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  99. Q3 9:24
    Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
  100. Q3 9:26
    Ace Bailey misses three point jump shot
  101. Q3 9:32
    Keyonte George defensive rebound
  102. Q3 9:36
    Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
  103. Q3 9:53
    +2
    Cody Williams makes two point jump shot
    52-78
  104. Q3 10:17
    +2
    Brandon Williams makes two point jump shot
    50-76
  105. Q3 10:22
    Caleb Martin defensive rebound
  106. Q3 10:36
    Isaiah Collier defensive rebound
  107. Q3 10:38
    Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
  108. Q3 11:11
    Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)
  109. Q3 11:11
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  110. Q3 11:11
    +1
    Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    52-78
  111. Q3 11:16
    Brandon Williams defensive rebound
  112. Q3 11:18
    Ace Bailey misses two point jump shot
  113. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  114. Q2 00:08
    Klay Thompson blocks Ace Bailey's two point driving layup
  115. Q2 00:10
    Ace Bailey offensive rebound
  116. Q2 00:31
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    50-70
  117. Q2 00:39
    Isaiah Collier offensive rebound
  118. Q2 00:52
    Caleb Martin defensive rebound
  119. Q2 1:03
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot (Moussa Cisse assists)
    48-68
  120. Q2 1:05
    Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
  121. Q2 1:16
    Kyle Filipowski violation
  122. Q2 1:29
    Jazz turnover
  123. Q2 1:47
    +3
    Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot
    48-68
  124. Q2 2:02
    Jazz turnover
  125. Q2 2:02
    Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Ace Bailey)
  126. Q2 2:30
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot
    48-63
  127. Q2 2:37
    Jazz turnover
  128. Q2 2:42
    Mavericks turnover
  129. Q2 3:00
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    48-61
  130. Q2 3:09
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  131. Q2 3:16
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  132. Q2 3:18
    Kyle Filipowski misses two point layup
  133. Q2 3:28
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  134. Q2 3:28
    Kyle Filipowski turnover (lost ball)
  135. Q2 3:46
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    46-61
  136. Q2 3:55
    Mavericks turnover
  137. Q2 4:30
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    41-61
  138. Q2 4:36
    Klay Thompson defensive rebound
  139. Q2 5:04
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  140. Q2 5:31
    +1
    Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    40-54
  141. Q2 5:31
    Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
  142. Q2 5:31
    Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Walter Clayton Jr., Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams)
  143. Q2 6:01
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    39-51
  144. Q2 6:23
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    37-51
  145. Q2 6:42
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    37-49
  146. Q2 6:54
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  147. Q2 7:24
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    36-46
  148. Q2 7:24
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  149. Q2 7:24
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    37-46
  150. Q2 7:24
    Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
  151. Q2 7:35
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  152. Q2 7:53
    Mavericks personal foul
  153. Q2 7:53
    +1
    Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    35-46
  154. Q2 8:00
    Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
  155. Q2 8:34
    Jazz personal foul
  156. Q2 8:34
    Moussa Cisse misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  157. Q2 8:34
    Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl)
  158. Q2 8:34
    +1
    Moussa Cisse makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    30-46
  159. Q2 8:47
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  160. Q2 8:55
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  161. Q2 9:24
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    28-45
  162. Q2 9:30
    Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
  163. Q2 9:32
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  164. Q2 9:42
    Jeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound
  165. Q2 9:47
    Brice Sensabaugh offensive rebound
  166. Q2 9:50
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    37-49
  167. Q2 10:04
    Jazz personal foul
  168. Q2 10:04
    Jazz lineup change (Brice Sensabaugh, Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Kyle Filipowski, Ace Bailey)
  169. Q2 10:04
    +1
    Moussa Cisse makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    28-43
  170. Q2 10:49
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    28-37
  171. Q2 11:04
    Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
  172. Q2 11:09
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  173. Q2 11:13
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  174. Q2 11:26
    Mavericks personal foul
  175. Q2 11:33
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  176. Q2 11:47
    Jazz turnover
  177. Q1 00:00
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  178. Q1 00:12
    +1
    Ryan Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    24-35
  179. Q1 00:59
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  180. Q1 1:22
    Jazz turnover
  181. Q1 1:34
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    24-28
  182. Q1 1:42
    Jeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound
  183. Q1 1:56
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  184. Q1 2:03
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  185. Q1 2:17
    Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
  186. Q1 2:26
    Jeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound
  187. Q1 2:38
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    24-26
  188. Q1 2:41
    Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
  189. Q1 3:03
    Jeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound
  190. Q1 3:05
    +1
    Kyle Anderson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    24-24
  191. Q1 3:19
    Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
  192. Q1 3:22
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  193. Q1 3:30
    Brice Sensabaugh offensive rebound
  194. Q1 3:31
    Mavericks personal foul
  195. Q1 3:31
    +1
    Brice Sensabaugh makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    21-24
  196. Q1 3:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  197. Q1 3:52
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    21-24
  198. Q1 4:01
    Mavericks personal foul
  199. Q1 4:01
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Keyonte George, Brice Sensabaugh, Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks)
  200. Q1 4:01
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    21-21
  201. Q1 4:05
    Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
  202. Q1 4:08
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  203. Q1 4:40
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  204. Q1 5:03
    Jazz personal foul
  205. Q1 5:12
    Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
  206. Q1 5:44
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  207. Q1 5:44
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Keyonte George, Brice Sensabaugh, Walter Clayton Jr., Cody Williams)
  208. Q1 5:48
    Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
  209. Q1 6:02
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    14-15
  210. Q1 6:05
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  211. Q1 6:34
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  212. Q1 6:44
    Mavericks turnover
  213. Q1 7:07
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    12-13
  214. Q1 7:29
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  215. Q1 7:40
    Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
  216. Q1 8:00
    +2
    Keyonte George makes two point bank jump shot
    10-11
  217. Q1 8:16
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  218. Q1 8:16
    +1
    Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    8-11
  219. Q1 8:19
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  220. Q1 8:21
    Ace Bailey misses two point turnaround jump shot
  221. Q1 8:36
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    8-10
  222. Q1 8:36
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  223. Q1 8:58
    +2
    Brandon Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup
    8-8
  224. Q1 9:13
    +2
    Ace Bailey makes two point alley-oop dunk (Isaiah Collier assists)
    8-6
  225. Q1 9:23
    Ace Bailey blocks Dwight Powell's two point driving layup
  226. Q1 9:42
    Ace Bailey blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup
  227. Q1 9:42
    Jazz defensive rebound
  228. Q1 9:50
    Keyonte George misses three point jump shot
  229. Q1 10:08
    Kyle Filipowski shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
  230. Q1 10:15
    Dwight Powell defensive rebound
  231. Q1 10:31
    +2
    Caleb Martin makes two point running layup (Brandon Williams assists)
    4-4
  232. Q1 10:38
    Dwight Powell blocks Cody Williams's two point driving dunk
  233. Q1 11:00
    +2
    Ace Bailey makes two point driving floating jump shot (Isaiah Collier assists)
    4-0
  234. Q1 11:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  235. Q1 11:26
    +2
    Kyle Filipowski makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Keyonte George assists)
    2-0
  236. Q1 12:00
    Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Ace Bailey)
  237. Q1 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Box Score
Jazz
PosPlayerPts
Mavericks
PosPlayerPts

Jazz vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Jazz vs. Mavericks
  • Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mavericks favored at -2.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 237
  • Moneyline Odds: Jazz +118, Mavericks -130

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Jazz: 39%
  • Mavericks: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Jazz 117-120 Mavericks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jazz a win probability of 39%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Jazz vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.