Knicks vs. Warriors Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Knicks vs. Warriors NBA game on January 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Knicks
113
126
Chase Center
Warriors
Chase Center
TEAM1234T
Knicks
35 24 28 26 113
Warriors
30 32 37 27 126
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Knicks
    <1%
  • Warriors
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Knicks
35 24 28 26 113
Warriors
30 32 37 27 126
Q4 00:19 Knicks makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:01 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:16 OG Anunoby misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:52 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Knicks misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:27 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:35 Knicks makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:42 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:10 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:19
    +2
    Knicks makes two point jump shot
    113-126
  3. Q4 00:22
    Tyler Kolek defensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:57
    Ariel Hukporti defensive rebound
  5. Q4 1:01
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  6. Q4 1:16
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  7. Q4 1:16
    Instant replay
  8. Q4 1:16
    Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Pat Spencer, Brandin Podziemski, Quinten Post)
  9. Q4 1:16
    OG Anunoby misses two point jump shot
  10. Q4 1:16
    OG Anunoby turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  11. Q4 1:25
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    111-124
  12. Q4 1:39
    De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
  13. Q4 1:52
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  14. Q4 2:09
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  15. Q4 2:13
    Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
  16. Q4 2:16
    Knicks misses two point jump shot
  17. Q4 2:27
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    111-122
  18. Q4 2:35
    +3
    Knicks makes three point jump shot
    111-120
  19. Q4 2:42
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  20. Q4 2:59
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  21. Q4 3:06
    Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
  22. Q4 3:10
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  23. Q4 3:31
    Knicks turnover
  24. Q4 3:31
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  25. Q4 3:41
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    108-120
  26. Q4 3:55
    +1
    OG Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    107-117
  27. Q4 3:55
    +1
    OG Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    108-117
  28. Q4 4:23
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  29. Q4 4:23
    Warriors lineup change (Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, De'Anthony Melton)
  30. Q4 4:38
    Knicks misses three point jump shot
  31. Q4 5:07
    +3
    Knicks makes three point jump shot
    104-115
  32. Q4 5:16
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    101-115
  33. Q4 5:48
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  34. Q4 6:10
    OG Anunoby misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  35. Q4 6:10
    +1
    OG Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    99-113
  36. Q4 6:10
    Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton)
  37. Q4 6:15
    Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
  38. Q4 6:19
    Al Horford offensive rebound
  39. Q4 6:51
    Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns, Josh Hart, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
  40. Q4 7:05
    Knicks misses two point jump shot
  41. Q4 7:05
    Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns, Josh Hart, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
  42. Q4 7:05
    Instant replay
  43. Q4 7:14
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    96-110
  44. Q4 7:29
    +2
    Knicks makes two point jump shot
    96-107
  45. Q4 8:07
    Instant replay
  46. Q4 8:20
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  47. Q4 8:24
    Instant replay
  48. Q4 8:24
    Knicks misses three point jump shot
  49. Q4 8:40
    Knicks personal foul
  50. Q4 8:44
    Josh Hart defensive rebound
  51. Q4 8:55
    Knicks misses three point jump shot
  52. Q4 9:28
    +2
    Knicks makes two point jump shot
    96-102
  53. Q4 9:28
    Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Josh Hart, Jordan Clarkson, Landry Shamet, Miles McBride)
  54. Q4 10:18
    Knicks turnover (shot clock violation)
  55. Q4 10:45
    Knicks personal foul
  56. Q4 10:45
    +1
    Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-100
  57. Q4 10:45
    Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Jordan Clarkson, Miles McBride, Ariel Hukporti, Mikal Bridges)
  58. Q4 10:45
    Brandin Podziemski turnover (lane violation)
  59. Q4 10:45
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, De'Anthony Melton)
  60. Q4 10:45
    Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
  61. Q4 10:45
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, De'Anthony Melton)
  62. Q4 10:45
    Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Josh Hart, Jordan Clarkson, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
  63. Q4 10:59
    Knicks personal foul
  64. Q4 10:59
    Instant replay
  65. Q4 11:01
    Warriors personal foul
  66. Q4 11:01
    Instant replay
  67. Q4 11:01
    Karl-Anthony Towns misses flagrant free throw 2 of 2
  68. Q4 11:01
    Knicks offensive rebound
  69. Q4 11:07
    Miles McBride defensive rebound
  70. Q4 11:09
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  71. Q4 11:36
    Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
  72. Q3 00:00
    Knicks offensive rebound
  73. Q3 00:00
    Jordan Clarkson misses heave shot
  74. Q3 00:02
    Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
  75. Q3 00:02
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    87-99
  76. Q3 00:44
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  77. Q3 00:58
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    87-97
  78. Q3 1:05
    +2
    Knicks makes two point jump shot
    87-95
  79. Q3 1:08
    Tyler Kolek defensive rebound
  80. Q3 1:20
    Al Horford defensive rebound
  81. Q3 1:22
    Jordan Clarkson misses two point jump shot
  82. Q3 2:23
    Knicks misses two point jump shot
  83. Q3 2:35
    Jimmy Butler III misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  84. Q3 2:35
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    82-92
  85. Q3 2:51
    Warriors defensive rebound
  86. Q3 2:51
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  87. Q3 2:51
    Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
  88. Q3 3:10
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    82-91
  89. Q3 3:26
    +3
    Knicks makes three point jump shot
    82-89
  90. Q3 3:31
    Miles McBride defensive rebound
  91. Q3 4:12
    Warriors turnover
  92. Q3 4:14
    Warriors offensive rebound
  93. Q3 4:14
    Knicks lineup change (Josh Hart, Landry Shamet, Miles McBride, Ariel Hukporti, Mikal Bridges)
  94. Q3 4:14
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  95. Q3 4:32
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  96. Q3 4:56
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    76-89
  97. Q3 4:59
    Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Josh Hart, Landry Shamet, Miles McBride, Ariel Hukporti)
  98. Q3 5:04
    Knicks misses three point jump shot
  99. Q3 5:30
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    76-87
  100. Q3 6:37
    OG Anunoby defensive rebound
  101. Q3 6:39
    Knicks personal foul
  102. Q3 6:39
    +1
    Jimmy Butler III makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    72-81
  103. Q3 6:39
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Draymond Green)
  104. Q3 6:41
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  105. Q3 7:00
    Knicks misses three point jump shot
  106. Q3 7:16
    Knicks personal foul
  107. Q3 7:16
    +1
    Draymond Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    72-79
  108. Q3 7:16
    Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns, Josh Hart, Landry Shamet, Miles McBride)
  109. Q3 7:17
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  110. Q3 7:21
    Knicks personal foul
  111. Q3 7:26
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  112. Q3 7:29
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  113. Q3 7:38
    Knicks misses two point jump shot
  114. Q3 7:44
    Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
  115. Q3 7:57
    +2
    Knicks makes two point jump shot
    72-78
  116. Q3 8:09
    Warriors personal foul
  117. Q3 8:28
    +3
    Knicks makes three point jump shot
    70-78
  118. Q3 8:37
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    67-78
  119. Q3 9:08
    +2
    Knicks makes two point jump shot
    67-72
  120. Q3 9:18
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  121. Q3 9:44
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    65-72
  122. Q3 9:52
    Knicks misses three point jump shot
  123. Q3 10:15
    Knicks misses three point jump shot
  124. Q3 11:09
    Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
  125. Q3 11:23
    +2
    Knicks makes two point jump shot
    61-62
  126. Q3 11:42
    OG Anunoby defensive rebound
  127. Q2 00:00
    Stephen Curry misses heave shot
  128. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  129. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Quinten Post)
  130. Q2 00:01
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  131. Q2 00:28
    +2
    Jimmy Butler III makes two point cutting layup (Stephen Curry assists)
    59-62
  132. Q2 00:36
    Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
  133. Q2 00:36
    +1
    Karl-Anthony Towns makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    58-60
  134. Q2 00:36
    Karl-Anthony Towns misses two point jump shot
  135. Q2 00:58
    Josh Hart shooting foul (Stephen Curry draws the foul)
  136. Q2 00:58
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    57-58
  137. Q2 00:58
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    58-60
  138. Q2 1:16
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  139. Q2 1:37
    Warriors turnover
  140. Q2 1:55
    Knicks 60 second timeout
  141. Q2 1:55
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    57-58
  142. Q2 1:55
    Brandin Podziemski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  143. Q2 1:55
    Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns, Josh Hart, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
  144. Q2 2:25
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    57-57
  145. Q2 2:46
    +2
    Knicks makes two point jump shot
    57-57
  146. Q2 3:27
    Knicks misses three point jump shot
  147. Q2 3:27
    Warriors personal foul
  148. Q2 3:27
    Knicks offensive rebound
  149. Q2 3:27
    Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Josh Hart, Tyler Kolek, Ariel Hukporti, Mikal Bridges)
  150. Q2 4:19
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
  151. Q2 4:19
    De'Anthony Melton shooting foul (Jordan Clarkson draws the foul)
  152. Q2 4:19
    Jordan Clarkson offensive rebound
  153. Q2 4:20
    Karl-Anthony Towns misses three point jump shot
  154. Q2 4:37
    +3
    Al Horford makes three point jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)
    50-50
  155. Q2 4:55
    +2
    Jordan Clarkson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyler Kolek assists)
    50-50
  156. Q2 5:27
    Jordan Clarkson misses three point pullup jump shot
  157. Q2 6:18
    Landry Shamet misses three point jump shot
  158. Q2 7:00
    +2
    Knicks makes two point jump shot
    44-42
  159. Q2 7:00
    Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Moses Moody, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton)
  160. Q2 7:00
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  161. Q2 7:02
    Jordan Clarkson misses two point jump shot
  162. Q2 7:12
    Knicks misses three point jump shot
  163. Q2 7:37
    Landry Shamet misses three point jump shot
  164. Q2 7:43
    Draymond Green turnover (bad pass) (Landry Shamet steals)
  165. Q2 7:52
    Knicks misses two point jump shot
  166. Q2 8:18
    Warriors turnover
  167. Q2 8:32
    +1
    Jordan Clarkson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    57-57
  168. Q2 9:10
    OG Anunoby turnover (offensive foul)
  169. Q2 9:50
    +3
    Draymond Green makes three point jump shot (Gary Payton II assists)
    40-37
  170. Q2 10:33
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  171. Q2 10:36
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  172. Q2 11:08
    Miles McBride misses two point tip layup
  173. Q2 11:08
    Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
  174. Q2 11:25
    OG Anunoby misses two point driving layup
  175. Q1 00:00
    Josh Hart offensive rebound
  176. Q2 12:00
    Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jordan Clarkson, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
  177. Q1 00:00
    Knicks offensive rebound
  178. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
  179. Q2 12:00
    Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jordan Clarkson, Tyler Kolek, Mikal Bridges)
  180. Q2 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Gary Payton II, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green)
  181. Q1 00:35
    +2
    Jordan Clarkson makes two point fadeaway jump shot
    35-28
  182. Q1 1:20
    Jimmy Butler III offensive rebound
  183. Q1 1:20
    Jimmy Butler III misses two point tip layup
  184. Q1 2:03
    Knicks turnover (shot clock violation)
  185. Q1 2:04
    De'Anthony Melton blocks Josh Hart's two point turnaround jump shot
  186. Q1 2:07
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  187. Q1 2:21
    Warriors lineup change (Will Richard, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
  188. Q1 2:21
    Knicks 60 second timeout
  189. Q1 2:29
    Jimmy Butler III misses three point running pullup jump shot
  190. Q1 2:36
    Miles McBride misses three point jump shot
  191. Q1 3:10
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Jimmy Butler III, Al Horford, Brandin Podziemski, De'Anthony Melton)
  192. Q1 3:10
    Knicks lineup change (Guerschon Yabusele, Josh Hart, Jordan Clarkson, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
  193. Q1 3:18
    Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
  194. Q1 3:54
    +2
    Stephen Curry makes two point driving layup
    31-19
  195. Q1 4:06
    Guerschon Yabusele misses three point pullup jump shot
  196. Q1 4:28
    +3
    OG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Mikal Bridges assists)
    31-14
  197. Q1 4:59
    Karl-Anthony Towns turnover (lost ball) (De'Anthony Melton steals)
  198. Q1 4:59
    Knicks lineup change (Guerschon Yabusele, OG Anunoby, Landry Shamet, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
  199. Q1 5:09
    De'Anthony Melton misses two point pullup jump shot
  200. Q1 5:34
    Al Horford personal foul (Karl-Anthony Towns draws the foul)
  201. Q1 5:42
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Al Horford, De'Anthony Melton)
  202. Q1 5:42
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    46-47
  203. Q1 5:55
    +3
    Landry Shamet makes three point running jump shot (Josh Hart assists)
    26-11
  204. Q1 5:59
    Karl-Anthony Towns turnover
  205. Q1 6:05
    Karl-Anthony Towns personal foul (Loose ball) (Moses Moody draws the foul)
  206. Q1 6:06
    Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
  207. Q1 6:06
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    44-42
  208. Q1 6:23
    Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
  209. Q1 6:26
    Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
  210. Q1 6:37
    Knicks defensive rebound
  211. Q1 6:39
    Stephen Curry misses three point jump shot
  212. Q1 6:55
    Josh Hart misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  213. Q1 6:55
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Gui Santos, Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green)
  214. Q1 6:55
    Moses Moody shooting foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)
  215. Q1 7:09
    Quinten Post misses three point jump shot
  216. Q1 7:38
    +3
    Moses Moody makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler III assists)
    18-11
  217. Q1 7:44
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  218. Q1 8:00
    +3
    Karl-Anthony Towns makes three point jump shot (Mikal Bridges assists)
    18-8
  219. Q1 8:33
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  220. Q1 8:43
    +2
    Jimmy Butler III makes two point driving bank jump shot (Stephen Curry assists)
    13-5
  221. Q1 9:24
    Stephen Curry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  222. Q1 9:37
    +1
    Josh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    10-3
  223. Q1 9:42
    Mikal Bridges defensive rebound
  224. Q1 10:03
    +2
    OG Anunoby makes two point driving dunk (Karl-Anthony Towns assists)
    8-3
  225. Q1 10:11
    Josh Hart misses three point jump shot
  226. Q1 10:41
    +3
    Mikal Bridges makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)
    6-3
  227. Q1 10:46
    OG Anunoby misses two point running layup
  228. Q1 10:52
    Draymond Green misses three point running jump shot
  229. Q1 11:00
    Karl-Anthony Towns misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  230. Q1 11:38
    +3
    Miles McBride makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)
    3-0
  231. Q1 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Moses Moody, Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Draymond Green, Quinten Post)
  232. Q1 12:00
    Knicks lineup change (OG Anunoby, Karl-Anthony Towns, Josh Hart, Miles McBride, Mikal Bridges)
Box Score
Knicks
PosPlayerPts
Warriors
PosPlayerPts

Knicks vs. Warriors: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Knicks vs. Warriors
  • Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Warriors favored at -7.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Knicks +230, Warriors -260

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Knicks: 28%
  • Warriors: 72%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Knicks 111-117 Warriors.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Knicks a win probability of 28%, while the Warriors have a win probability of 72%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Knicks in the NBA game at Chase Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Knicks vs. Warriors predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.