Hawks vs. Trail Blazers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Hawks vs. Trail Blazers NBA game on January 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Hawks
101
117
Moda Center
Trail Blazers
Moda Center
TEAM1234T
Hawks
25 31 31 14 101
Trail Blazers
31 23 34 29 117
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Hawks
    <1%
  • Trail Blazers
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Hawks
25 31 31 14 101
Trail Blazers
31 23 34 29 117
Q4 00:51 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:00 Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:41 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:54 Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:51 Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
Q4 3:23 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:59 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:08 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:21 Hawks misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:32 Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:01
    Hawks turnover
  2. Q4 00:25
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Caleb Love, Donovan Clingan, Toumani Camara, Shaedon Sharpe, Rayan Rupert)
  3. Q4 00:51
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 1:00
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    101-117
  5. Q4 1:25
    +1
    Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    98-114
  6. Q4 1:39
    Jerami Grant defensive rebound
  7. Q4 1:41
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  8. Q4 1:52
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  9. Q4 1:54
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  10. Q4 2:15
    Jrue Holiday defensive rebound
  11. Q4 2:28
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  12. Q4 2:31
    +1
    Donovan Clingan makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-112
  13. Q4 2:48
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  14. Q4 2:51
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  15. Q4 3:23
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  16. Q4 3:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  17. Q4 3:59
    Shaedon Sharpe defensive rebound
  18. Q4 3:59
    Hawks personal foul
  19. Q4 3:59
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Donovan Clingan, Toumani Camara, Shaedon Sharpe, Jrue Holiday, Jerami Grant)
  20. Q4 4:29
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  21. Q4 4:31
    Toumani Camara offensive rebound
  22. Q4 4:36
    Hawks turnover
  23. Q4 4:59
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  24. Q4 5:08
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    95-105
  25. Q4 5:21
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  26. Q4 5:30
    Vit Krejci defensive rebound
  27. Q4 5:32
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  28. Q4 5:47
    CJ McCollum misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  29. Q4 5:47
    Hawks offensive rebound
  30. Q4 5:52
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  31. Q4 6:12
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  32. Q4 6:12
    Instant replay
  33. Q4 6:12
    CJ McCollum misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  34. Q4 6:12
    Hawks offensive rebound
  35. Q4 6:12
    CJ McCollum misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  36. Q4 6:30
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  37. Q4 6:32
    Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
  38. Q4 6:36
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  39. Q4 6:44
    Hawks personal foul
  40. Q4 7:00
    Hawks lineup change (Jalen Johnson, Mouhamed Gueye, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Vit Krejci, CJ McCollum)
  41. Q4 7:00
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    93-103
  42. Q4 7:05
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  43. Q4 7:09
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  44. Q4 7:17
    Trail Blazers turnover
  45. Q4 7:35
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  46. Q4 8:06
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  47. Q4 8:15
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  48. Q4 8:43
    Robert Williams III defensive rebound
  49. Q4 8:57
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    89-103
  50. Q4 9:15
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  51. Q4 9:25
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    89-100
  52. Q4 9:44
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  53. Q4 10:06
    Duop Reath offensive rebound
  54. Q4 10:09
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  55. Q4 10:28
    Hawks lineup change (Jalen Johnson, Onyeka Okongwu, Dyson Daniels, Corey Kispert, Luke Kennard)
  56. Q4 10:28
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Caleb Love, Robert Williams III, Toumani Camara, Rayan Rupert, Duop Reath)
  57. Q4 10:46
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  58. Q4 11:21
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  59. Q4 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Onyeka Okongwu, Dyson Daniels, Corey Kispert, Luke Kennard)
  60. Q3 00:10
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    87-85
  61. Q3 00:18
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  62. Q3 00:31
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  63. Q3 00:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  64. Q3 1:11
    Robert Williams III defensive rebound
  65. Q3 1:22
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    81-83
  66. Q3 1:27
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  67. Q3 1:45
    Hawks turnover
  68. Q3 2:11
    Hawks turnover
  69. Q3 2:21
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  70. Q3 2:39
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    81-75
  71. Q3 2:53
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    79-75
  72. Q3 3:11
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  73. Q3 3:11
    Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum, Luke Kennard)
  74. Q3 3:31
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    77-72
  75. Q3 3:41
    Robert Williams III offensive rebound
  76. Q3 3:54
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  77. Q3 4:09
    Robert Williams III defensive rebound
  78. Q3 4:36
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    77-68
  79. Q3 5:01
    Hawks misses three point jump shot
  80. Q3 5:10
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Caleb Love, Robert Williams III, Toumani Camara, Shaedon Sharpe, Jerami Grant)
  81. Q3 5:17
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  82. Q3 5:34
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  83. Q3 5:42
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  84. Q3 6:13
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    72-66
  85. Q3 6:13
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Caleb Love, Donovan Clingan, Toumani Camara, Shaedon Sharpe, Jerami Grant)
  86. Q3 6:23
    Hawks lineup change (Jalen Johnson, Mouhamed Gueye, Vit Krejci, CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels)
  87. Q3 6:42
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    72-64
  88. Q3 7:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  89. Q3 7:03
    Hawks lineup change (Jalen Johnson, Mouhamed Gueye, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Vit Krejci, Dyson Daniels)
  90. Q3 7:05
    Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
  91. Q3 7:08
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  92. Q3 7:26
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    70-64
  93. Q3 7:34
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    67-64
  94. Q3 8:07
    +1
    Shaedon Sharpe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    65-61
  95. Q3 8:07
    +1
    Shaedon Sharpe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    65-62
  96. Q3 8:18
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  97. Q3 8:39
    Hawks turnover
  98. Q3 8:48
    Trail Blazers turnover
  99. Q3 9:12
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  100. Q3 9:15
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  101. Q3 9:24
    Shaedon Sharpe defensive rebound
  102. Q3 9:37
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  103. Q3 9:45
    Shaedon Sharpe defensive rebound
  104. Q3 10:07
    Toumani Camara defensive rebound
  105. Q3 10:16
    Donovan Clingan turnover (lost ball)
  106. Q3 10:23
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  107. Q3 10:38
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    63-56
  108. Q3 10:57
    Hawks defensive rebound
  109. Q3 11:00
    Sidy Cissoko offensive rebound
  110. Q3 11:13
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    61-56
  111. Q3 11:42
    +3
    Hawks makes three point jump shot
    59-54
  112. Q3 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Vit Krejci, Onyeka Okongwu, Dyson Daniels)
  113. Q2 00:01
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    56-54
  114. Q2 00:12
    Jalen Johnson personal foul
  115. Q2 00:12
    Instant replay
  116. Q2 00:12
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  117. Q2 00:13
    Trail Blazers violation
  118. Q2 00:43
    CJ McCollum misses two point jump shot
  119. Q2 1:08
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    56-52
  120. Q2 1:08
    Onyeka Okongwu offensive rebound
  121. Q2 1:26
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  122. Q2 1:55
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  123. Q2 1:58
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  124. Q2 2:11
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    48-48
  125. Q2 2:11
    Donovan Clingan personal foul
  126. Q2 2:19
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  127. Q2 2:34
    Onyeka Okongwu misses three point jump shot
  128. Q2 2:39
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  129. Q2 2:53
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Caleb Love, Donovan Clingan, Toumani Camara, Shaedon Sharpe, Jerami Grant)
  130. Q2 2:53
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  131. Q2 2:59
    CJ McCollum defensive rebound
  132. Q2 3:04
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  133. Q2 3:28
    CJ McCollum misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  134. Q2 3:28
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  135. Q2 3:28
    +1
    CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    44-48
  136. Q2 3:37
    Shaedon Sharpe turnover
  137. Q2 4:03
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker personal foul
  138. Q2 4:03
    +1
    Shaedon Sharpe makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    44-48
  139. Q2 4:03
    +1
    Shaedon Sharpe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    44-48
  140. Q2 4:07
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  141. Q2 4:09
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  142. Q2 4:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  143. Q2 4:28
    +2
    Hawks makes two point jump shot
    41-46
  144. Q2 4:42
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker personal foul
  145. Q2 4:42
    Mouhamed Gueye blocks Shaedon Sharpe's two point jump shot
  146. Q2 4:42
    Hawks lineup change (Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum, Dyson Daniels)
  147. Q2 5:04
    +2
    CJ McCollum makes two point driving layup (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)
    41-46
  148. Q2 5:15
    Jerami Grant misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  149. Q2 5:15
    +1
    Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    44-48
  150. Q2 5:27
    Shaedon Sharpe defensive rebound
  151. Q2 5:44
    Trail Blazers turnover
  152. Q2 5:56
    Hawks misses two point jump shot
  153. Q2 6:31
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Donovan Clingan, Toumani Camara, Shaedon Sharpe, Sidy Cissoko, Jerami Grant)
  154. Q2 6:31
    Hawks offensive rebound
  155. Q2 7:01
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  156. Q2 7:02
    Shaedon Sharpe misses two point stepback jump shot
  157. Q2 7:16
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  158. Q2 7:18
    Donovan Clingan misses three point jump shot
  159. Q2 7:29
    Hawks lineup change (Jalen Johnson, Mouhamed Gueye, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Dyson Daniels, Corey Kispert)
  160. Q2 7:36
    Robert Williams III defensive rebound
  161. Q2 7:38
    Corey Kispert turnover (bad pass) (Robert Williams III steals)
  162. Q2 8:09
    +2
    Robert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)
    33-41
  163. Q2 8:21
    Onyeka Okongwu turnover (bad pass) (Jrue Holiday steals)
  164. Q2 8:36
    +1
    Jrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    33-39
  165. Q2 8:36
    Jrue Holiday misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  166. Q2 8:36
    Hawks personal foul
  167. Q2 8:57
    Jrue Holiday misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  168. Q2 9:21
    +3
    Luke Kennard makes three point jump shot (Nickeil Alexander-Walker assists)
    30-38
  169. Q2 9:33
    Hawks lineup change (Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Onyeka Okongwu, Corey Kispert, Luke Kennard)
  170. Q2 9:33
    Rayan Rupert turnover (bad pass)
  171. Q2 9:47
    CJ McCollum offensive rebound
  172. Q2 9:48
    CJ McCollum misses two point driving floating jump shot
  173. Q2 10:09
    Corey Kispert turnover (lost ball) (Jrue Holiday steals)
  174. Q2 10:27
    Jump ball. Mouhamed Gueye vs. Jrue Holiday (Onyeka Okongwu gains possession)
  175. Q2 10:58
    +3
    Sidy Cissoko makes three point running jump shot (Rayan Rupert assists)
    27-38
  176. Q2 11:02
    Robert Williams III defensive rebound
  177. Q2 11:32
    Sidy Cissoko offensive rebound
  178. Q2 11:33
    Jrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot
  179. Q2 12:00
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Robert Williams III, Jrue Holiday, Sidy Cissoko, Rayan Rupert, Duop Reath)
  180. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  181. Q1 00:00
    Jerami Grant misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  182. Q2 12:00
    Start of 2nd Quarter
  183. Q1 00:00
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker misses heave shot
  184. Q1 00:00
    Hawks offensive rebound
  185. Q1 00:00
    Instant replay
  186. Q1 00:00
    Instant replay
  187. Q1 00:01
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Caleb Love, Shaedon Sharpe, Rayan Rupert, Duop Reath, Jerami Grant)
  188. Q1 00:01
    Luke Kennard personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)
  189. Q1 00:06
    CJ McCollum misses three point pullup jump shot
  190. Q1 00:49
    +3
    Corey Kispert makes three point running jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)
    25-31
  191. Q1 00:53
    Caleb Love turnover (lost ball) (Luke Kennard steals)
  192. Q1 1:19
    Robert Williams III offensive rebound
  193. Q1 1:19
    +2
    Robert Williams III makes two point tip layup
    22-31
  194. Q1 1:38
    Robert Williams III blocks Corey Kispert's two point driving layup
  195. Q1 1:50
    Onyeka Okongwu defensive rebound
  196. Q1 2:04
    +1
    CJ McCollum makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    22-29
  197. Q1 2:04
    Jerami Grant shooting foul (CJ McCollum draws the foul)
  198. Q1 2:33
    Duop Reath misses three point jump shot
  199. Q1 2:42
    Jalen Johnson turnover (offensive foul)
  200. Q1 2:42
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Caleb Love, Robert Williams III, Rayan Rupert, Duop Reath, Jerami Grant)
  201. Q1 2:42
    Jalen Johnson offensive foul (Toumani Camara draws the foul)
  202. Q1 2:42
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Caleb Love, Robert Williams III, Toumani Camara, Rayan Rupert, Jerami Grant)
  203. Q1 2:42
    Hawks lineup change (Mouhamed Gueye, Onyeka Okongwu, CJ McCollum, Corey Kispert, Luke Kennard)
  204. Q1 3:25
    +2
    Shaedon Sharpe makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Robert Williams III assists)
    18-24
  205. Q1 3:41
    +2
    CJ McCollum makes two point driving floating jump shot
    18-22
  206. Q1 4:02
    Luke Kennard misses three point jump shot
  207. Q1 4:13
    +2
    Caleb Love makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jerami Grant assists)
    16-20
  208. Q1 4:54
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Caleb Love, Robert Williams III, Toumani Camara, Shaedon Sharpe, Jerami Grant)
  209. Q1 4:54
    +1
    Jalen Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    16-18
  210. Q1 5:00
    Dyson Daniels defensive rebound
  211. Q1 5:03
    Jerami Grant misses two point pullup jump shot
  212. Q1 5:11
    CJ McCollum personal foul (Shaedon Sharpe draws the foul)
  213. Q1 5:16
    Shaedon Sharpe defensive rebound
  214. Q1 5:30
    Sidy Cissoko misses two point pullup jump shot
  215. Q1 5:47
    +2
    Dyson Daniels makes two point driving floating jump shot
    14-18
  216. Q1 6:11
    +3
    Mouhamed Gueye makes three point jump shot (CJ McCollum assists)
    12-18
  217. Q1 6:25
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  218. Q1 6:25
    Hawks defensive rebound
  219. Q1 6:26
    Caleb Love misses three point running jump shot
  220. Q1 6:59
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  221. Q1 7:00
    Jalen Johnson misses two point driving finger roll layup
  222. Q1 7:15
    Donovan Clingan misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  223. Q1 7:15
    Jalen Johnson personal foul (Donovan Clingan draws the foul)
  224. Q1 7:26
    Onyeka Okongwu misses three point jump shot
  225. Q1 7:40
    +3
    Jrue Holiday makes three point running pullup jump shot (Shaedon Sharpe assists)
    9-15
  226. Q1 7:47
    Onyeka Okongwu misses two point driving floating jump shot
  227. Q1 7:59
    +2
    Shaedon Sharpe makes two point driving layup
    9-12
  228. Q1 8:40
    Jalen Johnson turnover (traveling)
  229. Q1 8:48
    Jalen Johnson defensive rebound
  230. Q1 9:08
    Sidy Cissoko shooting foul (Nickeil Alexander-Walker draws the foul)
  231. Q1 9:08
    +1
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    5-7
  232. Q1 9:35
    Shaedon Sharpe turnover (lost ball) (Dyson Daniels steals)
  233. Q1 9:40
    Sidy Cissoko defensive rebound
  234. Q1 9:55
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  235. Q1 9:55
    Donovan Clingan misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  236. Q1 9:58
    Jrue Holiday misses two point turnaround hook shot
  237. Q1 10:12
    Jalen Johnson kicked ball violation
  238. Q1 10:26
    Toumani Camara misses three point jump shot
  239. Q1 10:32
    Shaedon Sharpe offensive rebound
  240. Q1 11:03
    Nickeil Alexander-Walker defensive rebound
  241. Q1 11:05
    Sidy Cissoko misses three point jump shot
  242. Q1 11:36
    +3
    Sidy Cissoko makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)
    0-3
  243. Q1 11:46
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  244. Q1 12:00
    Onyeka Okongwu vs. Donovan Clingan (Sidy Cissoko gains possession)
  245. Q1 12:00
    Hawks lineup change (Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Vit Krejci, Onyeka Okongwu, Dyson Daniels)
Box Score
Hawks
PosPlayerPts
Trail Blazers
PosPlayerPts

Hawks vs. Trail Blazers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Hawks vs. Trail Blazers
  • Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Moda Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Hawks favored at -4
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Hawks -165, Trail Blazers +148

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Hawks: 65%
  • Trail Blazers: 35%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Hawks 116-111 Trail Blazers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Hawks a win probability of 65%, while the Trail Blazers have a win probability of 35%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Hawks are more likely to beat the Trail Blazers in the NBA game at Moda Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Hawks vs. Trail Blazers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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