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Jazz vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Jazz vs. Mavericks NBA game on January 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
122
144
Jan 16, 1:30AM American Airlines Center
Jan 16, 1:30AM American Airlines Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jazz | 24 | 26 | 40 | 30 | 122 |
Mavericks | 35 | 35 | 51 | 21 | 144 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jazz | 24 | 26 | 40 | 30 | 122 |
Mavericks | 35 | 35 | 51 | 21 | 144 |
Q4 00:16 Jazz makes two point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)
Q4 00:37 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:44 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:47 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:02 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:39 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Q4 4:15 Mavericks makes three point jump shot
Q4 4:49 Jazz makes three point jump shot
Q4 5:20 Walter Clayton Jr. makes three point running pullup jump shot
Q4 5:55 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)
122-144
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Cody Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
Jazz defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Jazz offensive rebound
Cody Williams defensive rebound
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
120-140
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
120-140
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Collier offensive rebound
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
120-140
Mavericks turnover
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
107-134
+3
Walter Clayton Jr. makes three point running pullup jump shot
114-137
Cody Williams defensive rebound
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Ryan Nembhard, Caleb Martin, Moussa Cisse, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
107-134
Mavericks turnover
Instant replay (Request)
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
107-134
Cody Williams misses three point jump shot
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Ace Bailey shooting foul (Jaden Hardy draws the foul)
+1
Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 1 of 2
95-124
Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Brice Sensabaugh, Isaiah Collier, Cody Williams, Ace Bailey)
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
91-121
Mavericks lineup change (Miles Kelly, Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
90-121
+2
Ace Bailey makes two point dunk
90-121
+3
Brice Sensabaugh makes three point running jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)
90-121
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot
90-121
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
Kyle Anderson misses two point jump shot
Ryan Nembhard misses two point jump shot
+2
Walter Clayton Jr. makes two point jump shot
90-121
Klay Thompson turnover
Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Brice Sensabaugh, Walter Clayton Jr., Cody Williams, Ace Bailey)
End of 3rd Quarter.
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+3
Brice Sensabaugh makes three point jump shot
90-121
Jazz offensive rebound
Stoppage (Court cleanup)
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
Klay Thompson misses two point jump shot
Brice Sensabaugh misses three point jump shot
Ace Bailey turnover (lost ball)
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Brice Sensabaugh, Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Ace Bailey)
Jazz personal foul
+3
Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
76-112
Kyle Anderson misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
95-123
Moussa Cisse blocks Taylor Hendricks's two point driving layup
Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
Jazz turnover
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl turnover (offensive foul)
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
66-99
Mavericks turnover
Mavericks offensive rebound
Kyle Anderson personal foul
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
66-99
+3
Caleb Martin makes three point jump shot
66-99
Naji Marshall offensive rebound
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse)
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse)
Caleb Martin offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
Kyle Anderson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Keyonte George, Brice Sensabaugh, Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks)
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+3
Keyonte George makes three point jump shot
66-99
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
66-99
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
66-99
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
66-99
+1
Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-99
+1
Ace Bailey makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-81
Mavericks personal foul
Isaiah Collier offensive rebound
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
66-99
Jazz turnover
Jazz offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
Ace Bailey misses three point jump shot
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
+2
Cody Williams makes two point jump shot
52-78
+2
Brandon Williams makes two point jump shot
50-76
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
Isaiah Collier defensive rebound
Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
Instant replay (Challenge: Stands)
Jazz 60 second timeout
+1
Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-78
Brandon Williams defensive rebound
Ace Bailey misses two point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
Klay Thompson blocks Ace Bailey's two point driving layup
Ace Bailey offensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
50-70
Isaiah Collier offensive rebound
Caleb Martin defensive rebound
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot (Moussa Cisse assists)
48-68
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Kyle Filipowski violation
Jazz turnover
+3
Naji Marshall makes three point jump shot
48-68
Jazz turnover
Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Ace Bailey)
+2
Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot
48-63
Jazz turnover
Mavericks turnover
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
48-61
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Kyle Filipowski misses two point layup
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski turnover (lost ball)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
46-61
Mavericks turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
41-61
Klay Thompson defensive rebound
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
+1
Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-54
Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Walter Clayton Jr., Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams)
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
39-51
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
37-51
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
37-49
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
36-46
Mavericks 60 second timeout
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
37-46
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 1
35-46
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
Moussa Cisse misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall, Moussa Cisse, Jeremiah Robinson-Earl)
+1
Moussa Cisse makes regular free throw 2 of 2
30-46
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
28-45
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound
Brice Sensabaugh offensive rebound
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
37-49
Jazz personal foul
Jazz lineup change (Brice Sensabaugh, Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks, Kyle Filipowski, Ace Bailey)
+1
Moussa Cisse makes regular free throw 1 of 1
28-43
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
28-37
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Mavericks misses two point jump shot
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Mavericks personal foul
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Jazz turnover
Jazz misses three point jump shot
+1
Ryan Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-35
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Jazz turnover
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
24-28
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Kyle Anderson defensive rebound
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound
+2
Mavericks makes two point jump shot
24-26
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound
+1
Kyle Anderson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
24-24
Brice Sensabaugh defensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Brice Sensabaugh offensive rebound
Mavericks personal foul
+1
Brice Sensabaugh makes regular free throw 1 of 2
21-24
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Mavericks makes three point jump shot
21-24
Mavericks personal foul
Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Keyonte George, Brice Sensabaugh, Walter Clayton Jr., Taylor Hendricks)
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
21-21
Moussa Cisse offensive rebound
Mavericks misses three point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
Mavericks 60 second timeout
Jazz lineup change (Kyle Anderson, Keyonte George, Brice Sensabaugh, Walter Clayton Jr., Cody Williams)
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
14-15
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Mavericks turnover
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
12-13
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
+2
Keyonte George makes two point bank jump shot
10-11
Mavericks offensive rebound
+1
Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-11
Naji Marshall defensive rebound
Ace Bailey misses two point turnaround jump shot
+1
Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-10
Jazz 60 second timeout
+2
Brandon Williams makes two point driving finger roll layup
8-8
+2
Ace Bailey makes two point alley-oop dunk (Isaiah Collier assists)
8-6
Ace Bailey blocks Dwight Powell's two point driving layup
Ace Bailey blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup
Jazz defensive rebound
Keyonte George misses three point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski shooting foul (Brandon Williams draws the foul)
Dwight Powell defensive rebound
+2
Caleb Martin makes two point running layup (Brandon Williams assists)
4-4
Dwight Powell blocks Cody Williams's two point driving dunk
+2
Ace Bailey makes two point driving floating jump shot (Isaiah Collier assists)
4-0
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Kyle Filipowski makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Keyonte George assists)
2-0
Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Ace Bailey)
Mavericks lineup change (Jaden Hardy, Caleb Martin, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Naji Marshall)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Jazz vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Jazz vs. Mavericks
- Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Mavericks favored at -2.5
- Total (Over/Under): 237
- Moneyline Odds: Jazz +118, Mavericks -130
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Jazz: 39%
- Mavericks: 61%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Jazz 117-120 Mavericks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Jazz a win probability of 39%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Mavericks are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Jazz vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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