NBA Playoffs player props today: Saturday's best props include Ajay Mitchell [5/9/2026]

Ajay Mitchell under 14.5 points scored (+150)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 48.3%
• Projection: 15.2
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Our model has found value on Oklahoma City's Ajay Mitchell under 14.5 points scored. A probability of 48.3% gives this play an edge of 8.3% at +150 odds.

Daniss Jenkins over 4.5 assists (+190)

• Edge: 13.6%
• Probability: 48.1%
• Projection: 4.1
• Game: Pistons vs. Cavaliers (3:00PM ET)

Daniss Jenkins’s assists prop shows a 13.6% edge at +190 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.1 assists on the over 4.5 line.

Austin Reaves over 5.5 rebounds (+170)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 46.6%
• Projection: 4.9
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Austin Reaves over 5.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 46.6% probability and a 9.6% edge at +170.

LeBron James over 1.5 steals (+181)

• Edge: 10.6%
• Probability: 46.2%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Our model projects LeBron James to put up 1.2 steals today, creating an edge of 10.6% on the over 1.5 line at +181 odds.

LeBron James over 7.5 rebounds (+155)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 45.2%
• Projection: 6.6
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on LeBron James over 7.5 rebounds for LA Lakers, showing an edge of 6.0% at +155 odds.

Deandre Ayton under 0.5 blocks (+155)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 45.0%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Deandre Ayton’s blocks prop shows an edge of 5.8% at +155 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.0 today.

Chet Holmgren over 1.5 steals (+174)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 44.8%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Our model projects Chet Holmgren for 1.1 steals for Oklahoma City, creating an edge of 8.3% on over 1.5 at +174 odds.

Austin Reaves under 0.5 steals (+157)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 44.2%
• Projection: 0.9
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Austin Reaves for 0.9 steals, creating value on the under 0.5 line at +157 odds and a 5.3% edge.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 5.5 assists (+170)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 42.5%
• Projection: 6.8
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

A 5.4% edge on the under 0.5 assists line makes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander a value play in Thunder vs. Lakers, with our model projecting him for 6.8 assists at +170 odds.

LeBron James over 9.5 assists (+210)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 41.6%
• Projection: 8.0
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Simulations project LeBron James for 8.0 assists here, creating a 9.4% edge on the over 9.5 line at +210 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Saturday, May 9, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 8:55AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Thunder vs. Lakers	Ajay Mitchell under 14.5 points scored	+150 @ Fanatics	8.3%	48.3%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Daniss Jenkins over 4.5 assists	+190 @ Fanatics	13.6%	48.1%
Thunder vs. Lakers	Austin Reaves over 5.5 rebounds	+170 @ Fanatics	10.6%	46.2%
Thunder vs. Lakers	LeBron James over 1.5 steals	+181 @ DraftKings	10.6%	46.2%
Thunder vs. Lakers	LeBron James over 7.5 rebounds	+155 @ Fanatics	6.0%	45.2%
Thunder vs. Lakers	Deandre Ayton under 0.5 blocks	+155 @ BetMGM	5.8%	45.0%
Thunder vs. Lakers	Chet Holmgren over 1.5 steals	+174 @ DraftKings	8.3%	44.8%
Thunder vs. Lakers	Austin Reaves under 0.5 steals	+157 @ DraftKings	5.3%	44.2%
Thunder vs. Lakers	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander under 5.5 assists	+170 @ Fanatics	5.4%	42.5%
Thunder vs. Lakers	LeBron James over 9.5 assists	+210 @ Fanatics	9.4%	41.6%

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Conclusion

For May 9, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Ajay Mitchell, Daniss Jenkins and Austin Reaves. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.