Pistons vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Cavaliers NBA game on May 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Pistons
109
116
Rocket Arena
Cavaliers
Rocket Arena
TEAM1234T
Pistons
30 79 -28 28 109
Cavaliers
32 84 -33 33 116
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pistons
    20%
  • Cavaliers
    80%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pistons
30 79 -28 28 109
Cavaliers
32 84 -33 33 116
Q3 00:05 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q2 00:00 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 2:10 Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
Q2 2:26 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q2 2:40 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q2 3:00 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Q2 3:26 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q2 3:33 Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
Q2 4:01 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q2 4:25 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q4
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:00
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    109-116
  3. Q4 00:05
    Tobias Harris misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  4. Q3 00:05
    Instant replay
  5. Q3 00:05
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    109-116
  6. Q3 00:05
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Tobias Harris, Paul Reed, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
  7. Q3 00:05
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Tobias Harris, Paul Reed, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
  8. Q3 00:05
    Max Strus personal foul
  9. Q3 00:05
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Tobias Harris, Paul Reed, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
  10. Q3 00:05
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    109-116
  11. Q3 00:05
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    109-116
  12. Q3 00:05
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Tobias Harris, Paul Reed, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
  13. Q3 00:05
    Pistons offensive rebound
  14. Q3 00:05
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    109-116
  15. Q3 4:42
    Cavaliers turnover
  16. Q2 00:00
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  17. Q2 00:00
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  18. Q2 00:38
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  19. Q2 00:38
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  20. Q2 00:38
    Instant replay
  21. Q2 00:39
    Isaiah Stewart turnover
  22. Q2 2:07
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  23. Q2 2:10
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  24. Q2 2:26
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    46-57
  25. Q2 2:39
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  26. Q2 2:40
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    44-57
  27. Q2 2:53
    Pistons turnover
  28. Q2 2:53
    Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
  29. Q2 3:00
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    44-55
  30. Q2 3:14
    Pistons personal foul
  31. Q2 3:14
    Jalen Duren turnover (offensive foul)
  32. Q2 3:21
    Pistons personal foul
  33. Q2 3:21
    +1
    Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    44-51
  34. Q2 3:21
    +1
    Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    44-52
  35. Q2 3:21
    Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham)
  36. Q2 3:26
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    44-50
  37. Q2 3:30
    Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
  38. Q2 3:33
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  39. Q2 4:01
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    42-50
  40. Q2 4:25
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    40-50
  41. Q2 4:26
    Evan Mobley offensive rebound
  42. Q2 4:29
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    40-48
  43. Q2 4:29
    Pistons personal foul
  44. Q2 4:29
    James Harden misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  45. Q2 4:35
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  46. Q2 4:35
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  47. Q2 4:35
    Pistons personal foul
  48. Q2 4:35
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham)
  49. Q2 4:47
    Cavaliers personal foul
  50. Q2 4:47
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    39-45
  51. Q2 4:47
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    40-45
  52. Q2 4:47
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
  53. Q2 4:58
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    38-45
  54. Q2 5:05
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    38-43
  55. Q2 5:06
    Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
  56. Q2 5:09
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  57. Q2 5:18
    Pistons offensive rebound
  58. Q2 5:18
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  59. Q2 5:18
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Jarrett Allen, Max Strus, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
  60. Q2 5:18
    Cavaliers lineup change (Jarrett Allen, Max Strus, Evan Mobley, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell)
  61. Q2 5:19
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  62. Q2 5:37
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  63. Q2 5:40
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  64. Q2 5:40
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham)
  65. Q2 5:58
    Pistons personal foul
  66. Q2 5:58
    Cade Cunningham turnover (offensive foul)
  67. Q2 5:58
    Pistons lineup change (Isaiah Stewart, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham)
  68. Q2 5:58
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  69. Q2 5:58
    Instant replay
  70. Q2 5:58
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham)
  71. Q2 6:01
    Cavaliers turnover
  72. Q2 6:18
    Pistons personal foul
  73. Q2 6:22
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    36-43
  74. Q2 6:39
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    34-43
  75. Q2 7:01
    Dean Wade defensive rebound
  76. Q2 7:03
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  77. Q2 7:08
    Jalen Duren offensive rebound
  78. Q2 7:10
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  79. Q2 7:11
    Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
  80. Q2 7:15
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  81. Q2 7:36
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  82. Q2 7:36
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham)
  83. Q2 7:36
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Dennis Schroder, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
  84. Q2 7:38
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    34-41
  85. Q2 7:56
    Cavaliers personal foul
  86. Q2 7:56
    Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  87. Q2 7:56
    Pistons offensive rebound
  88. Q2 7:56
    +1
    Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    34-38
  89. Q2 8:08
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    33-38
  90. Q2 8:23
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    33-36
  91. Q2 8:39
    Pistons personal foul
  92. Q2 8:39
    +1
    Sam Merrill makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    31-35
  93. Q2 8:39
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
  94. Q2 8:39
    +1
    Sam Merrill makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    31-36
  95. Q2 8:43
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  96. Q2 8:47
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  97. Q2 8:53
    Javonte Green offensive rebound
  98. Q2 8:57
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  99. Q2 9:06
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  100. Q2 9:06
    Pistons offensive rebound
  101. Q2 9:06
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  102. Q2 9:25
    Javonte Green defensive rebound
  103. Q2 9:25
    Cavaliers personal foul
  104. Q2 9:25
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell)
  105. Q2 9:27
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  106. Q2 9:41
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  107. Q2 9:44
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  108. Q2 9:46
    Daniss Jenkins offensive rebound
  109. Q2 9:50
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  110. Q2 10:00
    Cavaliers personal foul
  111. Q2 10:00
    Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green)
  112. Q2 10:04
    Cavaliers turnover
  113. Q2 10:18
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  114. Q2 10:22
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  115. Q2 10:25
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  116. Q2 10:29
    Javonte Green offensive rebound
  117. Q2 10:33
    Cavaliers personal foul
  118. Q2 10:33
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    31-34
  119. Q2 10:33
    Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  120. Q2 10:33
    Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell)
  121. Q2 10:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  122. Q2 10:40
    Cavaliers violation
  123. Q2 10:40
    Pistons lineup change (Jalen Duren, Daniss Jenkins, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
  124. Q2 10:52
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    30-34
  125. Q2 11:00
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  126. Q2 11:04
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  127. Q2 11:18
    Pistons defensive rebound
  128. Q2 11:18
    Cavaliers personal foul
  129. Q2 11:19
    Pistons personal foul
  130. Q2 11:19
    Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  131. Q2 11:19
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  132. Q2 11:19
    Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  133. Q2 11:24
    Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
  134. Q2 11:26
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  135. Q2 11:44
    Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
  136. Q2 11:48
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  137. Q1 00:00
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  138. Q1 00:00
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  139. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  140. Q2 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
  141. Q2 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Jaylon Tyson, Max Strus, Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, Donovan Mitchell)
  142. Q1 00:05
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  143. Q1 00:05
    Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
  144. Q1 00:05
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  145. Q1 00:05
    Pistons offensive rebound
  146. Q1 00:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  147. Q1 00:05
    Pistons turnover
  148. Q1 00:05
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Dennis Schroder, Jaylon Tyson, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
  149. Q1 00:05
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
  150. Q1 00:05
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Jaylon Tyson, Max Strus, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
  151. Q1 00:29
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    30-32
  152. Q1 00:49
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  153. Q1 00:49
    Caris LeVert offensive rebound
  154. Q1 00:49
    Pistons turnover
  155. Q1 1:16
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    30-30
  156. Q1 1:37
    Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
  157. Q1 1:38
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  158. Q1 1:38
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    28-27
  159. Q1 1:38
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  160. Q1 1:41
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  161. Q1 1:49
    Max Strus turnover
  162. Q1 1:56
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  163. Q1 2:02
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  164. Q1 2:11
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  165. Q1 2:13
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  166. Q1 2:27
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    28-27
  167. Q1 2:30
    Cavaliers turnover
  168. Q1 2:39
    Cavaliers personal foul
  169. Q1 2:39
    +1
    Caris LeVert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    25-27
  170. Q1 2:39
    Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Caris LeVert)
  171. Q1 2:39
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Jaylon Tyson, Max Strus, Evan Mobley, Donovan Mitchell)
  172. Q1 2:39
    +1
    Caris LeVert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    26-27
  173. Q1 2:44
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    24-27
  174. Q1 2:56
    Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
  175. Q1 2:58
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  176. Q1 3:18
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    24-25
  177. Q1 3:30
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    24-23
  178. Q1 3:46
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    22-23
  179. Q1 4:04
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    22-21
  180. Q1 4:12
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  181. Q1 4:15
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  182. Q1 4:22
    Max Strus defensive rebound
  183. Q1 4:25
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  184. Q1 4:40
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  185. Q1 4:43
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  186. Q1 4:45
    Max Strus defensive rebound
  187. Q1 4:49
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  188. Q1 5:06
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  189. Q1 5:06
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Caris LeVert)
  190. Q1 5:08
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    20-21
  191. Q1 5:21
    Pistons personal foul
  192. Q1 5:21
    Jalen Duren turnover (offensive foul)
  193. Q1 5:26
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  194. Q1 5:26
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins, Caris LeVert)
  195. Q1 5:39
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    20-19
  196. Q1 6:03
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    20-16
  197. Q1 6:26
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    18-15
  198. Q1 6:26
    Pistons personal foul
  199. Q1 6:26
    +1
    Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    18-16
  200. Q1 6:41
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  201. Q1 6:41
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dennis Schroder, Jarrett Allen, Jaylon Tyson, Max Strus, James Harden)
  202. Q1 6:41
    Pistons lineup change (Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Duncan Robinson, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
  203. Q1 6:43
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    18-13
  204. Q1 6:51
    Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
  205. Q1 6:53
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  206. Q1 6:58
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  207. Q1 7:00
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  208. Q1 7:26
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    16-13
  209. Q1 7:39
    Cavaliers personal foul
  210. Q1 7:39
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    15-11
  211. Q1 7:39
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    16-11
  212. Q1 7:53
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    14-11
  213. Q1 8:05
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    14-9
  214. Q1 8:07
    Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
  215. Q1 8:09
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  216. Q1 8:31
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    12-9
  217. Q1 8:45
    Pistons turnover
  218. Q1 9:04
    Pistons personal foul
  219. Q1 9:04
    Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  220. Q1 9:04
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  221. Q1 9:04
    +1
    Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    12-6
  222. Q1 9:15
    Cavaliers personal foul
  223. Q1 9:15
    Pistons offensive rebound
  224. Q1 9:15
    Duncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  225. Q1 9:15
    +1
    Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    12-5
  226. Q1 9:19
    Cavaliers turnover
  227. Q1 9:32
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    11-5
  228. Q1 9:51
    Cavaliers turnover
  229. Q1 10:01
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  230. Q1 10:05
    Cavaliers personal foul
  231. Q1 10:05
    +1
    Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    9-5
  232. Q1 10:05
    Cade Cunningham misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  233. Q1 10:09
    Cavaliers turnover
  234. Q1 10:20
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    8-5
  235. Q1 10:21
    Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
  236. Q1 10:23
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  237. Q1 10:45
    +3
    James Harden makes three point jump shot
    5-5
  238. Q1 10:59
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    5-2
  239. Q1 11:14
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    3-2
  240. Q1 11:15
    Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound
  241. Q1 11:16
    Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
  242. Q1 11:16
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  243. Q1 11:22
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  244. Q1 11:26
    Cavaliers turnover
  245. Q1 11:43
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    3-0
  246. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  247. Q1 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Dean Wade, Jarrett Allen, Evan Mobley, James Harden, Donovan Mitchell)
  248. Q1 12:00
    (Duncan Robinson gains possession)
Box Score
Pistons
PosPlayerPts
Cavaliers
PosPlayerPts

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pistons vs. Cavaliers
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Rocket Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cavaliers favored at -5.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 211.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pistons +167, Cavaliers -160

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pistons: 32%
  • Cavaliers: 68%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 104-109 Cavaliers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 32%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 68%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cavaliers are more likely to beat the Pistons in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pistons vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.