Pacers vs. Pelicans prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 21, 2026

The Indiana Pacers are favored to beat the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday, according to Dimers' NBA pregame model.

Our Pacers vs. Pelicans prediction gives Indiana a 62.8% chance of winning at Smoothie King Center, with the latest odds also suggesting value in betting on the Pacers to win.

Pacers vs. Pelicans: Key predictions

• Pacers win probability: 62.8%
• Pelicans win probability: 37.2%
• Pacers -3.5 spread: 50.6% cover probability
• Under 240.5 points: 53.3% probability

Dimers' NBA pregame model estimates how many points each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent player performance, each team's strengths and weaknesses, projected playing time, player availability, and home-court advantage.

These projections power our NBA predictions, which show the probability of each team winning, covering the spread, and the total points going over or under the betting line.

Pacers vs. Pelicans odds

Here are the best available odds for Wednesday's game across sportsbooks and prediction markets monitored by Dimers.

• Pacers moneyline: 60¢ (Kalshi)
• Pelicans moneyline: +138 (BetRivers)
• Pacers -3.5: -105 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Pelicans +3.5: -108 (BetRivers)
• Over 240.5 points: -115 (BetRivers)
• Under 240.5 points: -108 (BetRivers)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Pacers moneyline (60¢)

With Indiana favored to beat New Orleans, Dimers' top value bet is the Pacers moneyline at 60¢, available at Kalshi.

Those odds imply the Pacers have a 59.7% chance of winning, while our model puts that probability at 62.8%.

That's a 3.1% edge in the Pacers' favor, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Pacers vs. Pelicans player projections

Unlike our team-focused NBA pregame model, Dimers' NBA player props model projects points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent form, expected minutes, injuries, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.

Trey Murphy leads our scoring projections for this matchup, with the Pelicans star also expected to add 5.7 rebounds and 4.2 assists. The Pelicans have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Pacers' two.

Top 5 projected scorers

• Trey Murphy (Pelicans): 23.6 points
• Pascal Siakam (Pacers): 22.4
• Zion Williamson (Pelicans): 21.9
• Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers): 18.4
• Dejounte Murray (Pelicans): 17.6

Projections across all major stat categories are available for every player expected to take the court on our NBA player projections page.

These are statistical projections, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Pacers vs. Pelicans predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Wednesday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Recommended bets for the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.
• Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks markets.

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Pacers vs. Pelicans game details

• Matchup: Indiana Pacers vs. New Orleans Pelicans
• Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00 PM PT
• Venue: Smoothie King Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NBA models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.