Jazz vs. Grizzlies prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 21, 2026

The Memphis Grizzlies are favored to beat the Utah Jazz on Wednesday, according to Dimers' NBA pregame model.

Our Jazz vs. Grizzlies prediction gives Memphis a 56.5% chance of winning at FedExForum, with the latest odds also suggesting value in betting on the Grizzlies to win.

Jazz vs. Grizzlies: Key predictions

• Grizzlies win probability: 56.5%
• Jazz win probability: 43.5%
• Jazz +0.5 spread: 51.0% cover probability
• Under 242.5 points: 53.7% probability

Dimers' NBA pregame model estimates how many points each team is likely to score, accounting for factors such as recent player performance, each team's strengths and weaknesses, projected playing time, player availability, and home-court advantage.

These projections power our NBA predictions, which show the probability of each team winning, covering the spread, and the total points going over or under the betting line.

Jazz vs. Grizzlies odds

These are the best available odds for Wednesday's game across sportsbooks and prediction markets monitored by Dimers.

• Jazz moneyline: +105 (BetMGM)
• Grizzlies moneyline: -117 (BetRivers)
• Jazz +0.5: -107 (BetRivers)
• Grizzlies -0.5: -117 (BetRivers)
• Over 242.5 points: -105 (DraftKings)
• Under 242.5 points: -110 (BetMGM)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Best value bet: Grizzlies moneyline (-117)

With Memphis favored to beat Utah, Dimers' top value bet is the Grizzlies moneyline at -117, available at BetRivers.

Those odds imply the Grizzlies have a 53.9% chance of winning, while our model puts that probability at 56.5%.

That's a 2.4% edge (accounting for rounding) in the Grizzlies' favor, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets based on Dimers' probabilities and the best available odds.

Jazz vs. Grizzlies player projections

Unlike our team-focused NBA pregame model, Dimers' NBA player props model projects points, rebounds, assists, and more, accounting for recent form, expected minutes, injuries, lineup changes, and defensive matchups.

Lauri Markkanen leads our scoring projections for this matchup, with the Jazz star also expected to add 6.4 rebounds and 2.3 assists. The Jazz have three players among the top five projected scorers, compared to the Grizzlies' two.

Top 5 projected scorers

• Lauri Markkanen (Jazz): 24.2 points
• Keyonte George (Jazz): 22.7
• Jaren Jackson (Jazz): 20.8
• Ty Jerome (Grizzlies): 19.4
• Cedric Coward (Grizzlies): 17.0

Projections across all major stat categories are available for every player expected to take the court on our NBA player projections page.

These are statistical projections, not betting recommendations. Compare them with available odds to assess potential value.

Unlock all Jazz vs. Grizzlies predictions with Dimers Pro

Get the complete picture for Wednesday's matchup with Dimers Pro, including:

• Recommended bets for the moneyline, spread, and total points markets.
• Points, rebounds, and assists projections for players on both teams.
• High-value player props across points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks markets.

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Jazz vs. Grizzlies game details

• Matchup: Utah Jazz vs. Memphis Grizzlies
• Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00 PM PT
• Venue: FedExForum

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from Dimers' proprietary NBA models, presented through a human-written template. Matchup-specific information is populated automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and may change as new information becomes available. Learn more about how Dimers predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.