NBA player props today: Wednesday's best props include Grayson Allen [10/21/2026]

Grayson Allen over 0.5 3-pointers made (-104)

• Edge: 17.9%
• Probability: 68.9%
• Projection: 2.5
• Game: Hornets vs. Nets (7:30PM ET)

Our model has found value on Hornets' Grayson Allen over 0.5 3-pointers made. A probability of 68.9% gives this play an edge of 17.9% at -104 odds.

Deni Avdija over 4.5 assists (+233)

• Edge: 31.3%
• Probability: 61.3%
• Projection: 6.5
• Game: Suns vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Deni Avdija’s assists prop shows a 31.3% edge at +233 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 6.5 assists on the over 4.5 line.

Cedric Coward over 5.5 rebounds (+135)

• Edge: 17.6%
• Probability: 60.1%
• Projection: 7.3
• Game: Jazz vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Cedric Coward over 5.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 60.1% probability and a 17.6% edge at +135.

Precious Achiuwa over 3.5 rebounds (+130)

• Edge: 15.2%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Projection: 5.0
• Game: Kings vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)

Our model projects Precious Achiuwa to record 5.0 rebounds today, creating an edge of 15.2% on the over 3.5 line at +130 odds.

Kel'el Ware over 7.5 rebounds (+106)

• Edge: 10.0%
• Probability: 58.5%
• Projection: 9.0
• Game: Bucks vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Kel'el Ware over 7.5 rebounds for Bucks, showing an edge of 10.0% at +106 odds.

Draymond Green over 0.5 steals (+160)

• Edge: 20.0%
• Probability: 58.5%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Warriors vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Draymond Green’s steals prop shows an edge of 20.0% at +160 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.1 today.

Immanuel Quickley over 0.5 steals (+100)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Bulls vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET)

Our model projects Immanuel Quickley for 1.1 steals for Raptors, creating an edge of 8.4% on over 0.5 at +100 odds.

Jalen Johnson over 0.5 steals (+133)

• Edge: 15.1%
• Probability: 58.1%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Hawks vs. Magic (7:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Jalen Johnson for 1.1 steals, creating value on the over 0.5 line at +133 odds and a 15.1% edge.

Andrew Nembhard over 5.5 assists (+111)

• Edge: 10.3%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Projection: 6.9
• Game: Pacers vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

A 10.3% edge on the over 0.5 assists line makes Andrew Nembhard a value play in Pacers vs. Pelicans, with our model projecting him for 6.9 assists at +111 odds.

Devin Booker over 0.5 steals (+167)

• Edge: 20.2%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Suns vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Simulations project Devin Booker for 1.1 steals here, creating a 20.2% edge on the over 0.5 line at +167 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Wednesday, October 21, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:51AM ET:

Conclusion

For October 21, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Grayson Allen, Deni Avdija and Cedric Coward. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.