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NBA Player Prop Picks, Betting Picks, Parlays and Sportsbook Odds - Sunday March 28
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Prop, collaborate and listen. We are back with your daily fix of our famous NBA props to end your Sunday with a bang.
So how do our player prop picks work exactly? Well, our predictive analytics model has crunched the numbers ahead of tonight's games, giving us the likely stats projections which we've matched up against the sportsbook lines to find the biggest differential and edge for you to make a play on. While this article contains the best edges that we've found against the books, you can run this exercise yourself by looking in the Pre-Game Predictions tab of the game of your choice in the NBA Bet Hub.
Check out our best plays for tonight's action, courtesy of our NBA Bet Hub👇
Suns @ Hornets
PLAYER: Terry Rozier
BET:🔥 OVER 20.5 points with PointsBet (-106)
As your dedicated NBA Player Props daily article writer, I keep a daily eye on the player prop markets set by the sportsbooks and there are very clear and distinct trends that one tends to notice over time. One of those trends is how slow the 'books are to react adjust the market when a player is on a hot streak.
Case in point is the Charlotte Hornets' guard, Terry Rozier. Scary Terry has been a money making machine lately, averaging 25 points a game since LaMelo Ball went down with a broken wrist. That's an important thing to note, because with Ball being out, Rozier has been given additional freedom to take those extra shots.
The fact that the sportsbooks still aren't adjusting based upon the above factor is good news for bettors. Smash the over for Terry while the going is good.
MORE: Probabilities for Suns @ Hornets
Hawks @ Nuggets
PLAYER: Nikola Jokic
BET:🔥 OVER 25.5 points with FanDuel Sportsbook (-105)
The Joker is the current favorite to claim the NBA MVP, but he will need to keep putting up stats if he is to truly emerge as an outright winner in the second half of the season. A game against the fast-paced Atlanta Hawks is a perfect opportunity to pad the lines and we're identifying a gap between our projection of 28 points for Jokic compared with the 'book line of 25.5.
Don't be surprised to see another 30+ game from the Denver big man.
MORE: Probabilities for Hawks @ Nuggets
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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