NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Friday, 5/17/2024]

NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Friday, 5/17/2024]

We have another exciting day of NBA Playoffs ahead of us, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the best NBA first basket predictions and odds for Friday, May 17, 2024.

Friday's NBA Playoffs action is set to showcase players such as Jalen Brunson, Pascal Siakam and Tyrese Haliburton, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for basketball fans to bet on, and by using Friday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on May 17.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: May 17, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Friday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
Jalen Brunson (Knicks) 17.4%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers) 12.9%
Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers) 11.4%
Myles Turner (Pacers) 11.0%
Donte DiVincenzo (Knicks) 9.4%
Andrew Nembhard (Pacers) 9.3%
Miles McBride (Knicks) 8.1%
Isaiah Hartenstein (Knicks) 7.9%
Josh Hart (Knicks) 7.2%
Aaron Nesmith (Pacers) 5.4%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket tonight is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 17.4%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Pascal Siakam, with a 12.9% probability, and Tyrese Haliburton, with a 11.4% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Friday, which does not necessarily indicate that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Today: Friday 5/17/2024

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Friday.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

1. Jalen Brunson To Score First Basket (+550)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Knicks and Pacers. The bet is on Jalen Brunson (NYK) at odds of +550 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.0%.

2. Tyrese Haliburton To Score First Basket (+900)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Friday also comes in the Knicks vs. Pacers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.5% on Tyrese Haliburton (IND) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Friday's Best NBA Bets

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Friday slate:

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: May 17, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 17, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, May 17, are made after rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

With over 15 years of experience in sports and betting, Damien Souness is a recognized authority in both fields. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, he actively contributes to the growth of platforms like His expertise in soccer and the NBA is evident from his comprehensive coverage and insightful betting tips, particularly his knack for finding value in bets. 

His prior roles with prestigious organizations and media outlets, including Formula 1, MotoGP,, and, highlight his dedication to delivering accurate and timely content, making him a trusted voice among sports fans and bettors alike.

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