May 19, 2026
Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [5/19/2026]
Read Article Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +1000 pick for Dinger Tuesday [5/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Tuesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, May 19, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Tuesday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, built to highlight the top home run picks today.
Home run predictions for May 19, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1000.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 21.3% |
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 21.0% |
| Jake Burger (Rangers) | 19.8% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 19.8% |
| Hunter Goodman (Rockies) | 19.1% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 18.8% |
| Joc Pederson (Rangers) | 18.0% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 17.7% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.6% |
| Juan Soto (Mets) | 16.7% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 21.3% chance to go deep, followed by Aaron Judge (21.0%) and Jake Burger (19.8%).
Kyle Schwarber and Hunter Goodman are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Tuesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Tuesday's home run picks [5/19/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Vinnie Pasquantino (Royals) to hit a home run
- Probability: 12.6%
- Odds: +1000
- Edge: 3.6%
- Game: Red Sox vs. Royals (7:40 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Ranger Suarez
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Kansas City slugger Vinnie Pasquantino rates as a value play at +1000 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 3.6% edge.
Against Red Sox starter Ranger Suarez, the data supports Pasquantino as one of Tuesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props — and a natural fit for Dinger Tuesday, when bettors look for value in home run props across a packed MLB slate.
Originally sparked by sportsbook offers rewarding bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has evolved into a weekly tradition for MLB bettors — where clear, model-driven insights like these can help separate signal from noise.
Pro users have access to a total of 10 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For May 19, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge and Jake Burger projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Vinnie Pasquantino who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.6% edge at +1000 odds.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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