Brewers vs. Cubs prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [5/19/2026]

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Get Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs predictions for MLB Tuesday.

Milwaukee Brewers-Chicago Cubs Predictions and Game Preview.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs MLB prediction for Tuesday, May 19, 2026.

The Chicago Cubs will square off with the Milwaukee Brewers, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Wrigley Field on Tuesday, starting at 7:40 PM ET.

Ben Brown (1-1, 1.60 ERA) will be on the bump for the Cubs, pitting him against Jacob Misiorowski (3-2, 2.12 ERA) for the Brewers.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Brewers a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Cubs.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's Brewers vs. Cubs matchup, including best bets and picks.

Brewers vs. Cubs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Brewers and Cubs, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Brewers a 51% chance of defeating the Cubs.

According to our model, the Cubs (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

 

Brewers vs. Cubs odds [5/19/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Brewers Cubs
Run Line -1.5 (+142) +1.5 (-165)
Moneyline -115 -102
Total o8 (+100) u8 (-122)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Brewers vs. Cubs picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Cubs +1.5 -165
Moneyline Cubs -102
Total Over 8 +100

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Brewers vs. Cubs game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Cubs and Brewers at Wrigley Field is scheduled to begin at 7:40 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Brewers, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Cubs in Tuesday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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