Home run predictions for Playoffs Sunday include Aaron Judge, Jazz Chisholm [10/5/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, October 5, 2025, are here—with Aaron Judge topping the list per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Sunday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB playoffs matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for October 5, 2025

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 26.5% chance to go yard, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (24.7%) and Cal Raleigh (21.5%).

Jazz Chisholm and Eugenio Suarez are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Sunday's playoffs home run picks [10/5/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Daulton Varsho (Blue Jays) to hit a home run

• Probability: 16.9%
• Odds: +850
• Edge: 6.4%
• Game: Yankees vs. Blue Jays (4:08PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Max Fried

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Toronto slugger Daulton Varsho offers standout value at +850 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 6.4%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Max Fried on the mound for the Yankees, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Varsho has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Sunday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-driven MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 34 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB Postseason schedule for today [Sunday, October 5, 2025]

• Yankees vs. Blue Jays (4:08PM ET, Sunday)
• Tigers vs. Mariners (8:03PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

For October 5, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Cal Raleigh projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Daulton Varsho who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 6.4% edge at +850 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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