Pirates vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Phillies MLB game on June 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Pirates
Braxton Ashcraft 7-3, 3.07 ERA
11
7
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Aaron Nola 3-4, 5.58 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 0 0 2 6 0 0 0 3 11 11 0
Phillies
2 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 7 9 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    100%
  • Phillies
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Brandon Marsh strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Griffin DH5120001.4001.000
2 B. Lowe 2B4001003.0000.000
3 B. Reynolds LF4210011.2500.900
4 R. O'Hearn 1B5221001.4000.800
5 B. Cook CF0100000.0000.000
6 E. Rodríguez C3124120.6672.467
7 N. Gonzales 3B2000002.0000.000
8 J. Triolo SS4111102.2501.250
9 J. Mangum RF4110001.2500.750
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS5221102.4001.400
2 K. Schwarber DH3001011.0000.200
3 B. Harper 1B4112112.2501.400
4 B. Marsh LF5222203.4002.000
5 A. Bohm 3B4000001.0000.000
6 B. Stott 2B4110001.2500.500
7 J. Realmuto C3011000.3330.833
8 D. Hill RF0000010.0001.000
9 J. Crawford CF4120001.5001.000

Pirates vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pirates vs. Phillies
  • Date: Monday, June 29, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pirates 48¢, Phillies 51¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pirates: 47%
  • Phillies: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 47%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.