Astros vs. Tigers prediction: Houston favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [6/28/2026]
Get Houston Astros vs Detroit Tigers predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Detroit Tigers and Houston Astros will meet in MLB action at Comerica Park on Sunday, starting at 1:40 PM ET.
Jack Flaherty (1-8, 5.34 ERA) will start for the Tigers, while the Astros will counter with Hunter Brown (1-0, 1.40 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Astros a slight edge with a 53.0% win probability over the Tigers.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's Astros vs. Tigers matchup, including best bets and picks.
Astros vs. Tigers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model gives the Astros a 53.0% chance of defeating the Tigers.
According to our model, the Tigers (+1.5) have a 59.7% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 53.8% chance of going over,.
Astros vs. Tigers odds [6/28/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Astros | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+136) | +1.5 (-160) |
| Moneyline | -130 | +110 |
| Total | o8 (-110) | u8 (-104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Astros vs. Tigers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Tigers +1.5 | -160 |
| Moneyline | Tigers | +110 |
| Total | Over 8 | -110 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Astros vs. Tigers game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB game between the Tigers and Astros at Comerica Park is scheduled to start at 1:40 PM ET.
- Who: Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers
- Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
- Time: 1:40 PM ET/10:40AM PT
- Venue: Comerica Park
Conclusion
We predict the Astros, with a 53.0% win probability, will likely beat the Tigers in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
