Nationals vs. Orioles Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nationals vs. Orioles MLB game on June 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Nationals
Zack Littell 6-6, 5.40 ERA
6
4
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Kyle Bradish 5-7, 3.64 ERA
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Nationals
0 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 0 6 7 0
Orioles
2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 4 5 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nationals
    100%
  • Orioles
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Leody Taveras grounds out to second base. Coby Mayo out at second.
Quick Box Score
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wood DH3210021.3330.933
2 L. García 1B5335200.6002.600
3 C. Mead 3B4010000.2500.750
4 C. Abrams SS4000001.0000.000
5 D. Crews RF3010011.3330.833
6 D. Lile LF4000001.0000.000
7 J. Young CF4000001.0000.000
8 N. Nuñez 2B0000000.0000.000
9 K. Ruiz C3110011.3330.833
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Ward LF3000011.0000.250
2 G. Henderson SS4000000.0000.000
3 A. Rutschman C3110010.3330.833
4 P. Alonso DH4112101.2501.250
5 B. Alexander 3B1000000.0000.000
6 T. O'Neill PH1000000.0000.000
7 C. Mayo 1B3000011.0000.250
8 L. Taveras PH1000000.0000.000
9 J. Holliday 2B3112100.3331.666

Nationals vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nationals vs. Orioles
  • Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Orioles favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nationals +186, Orioles -182

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nationals: 36%
  • Orioles: 64%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nationals a win probability of 36%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Orioles are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nationals vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.