Oct 7, 2026
Guardians vs. White Sox prediction: Why White Sox are favored to win Wednesday's Game 3 [2026]
Read Article Rays vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Wednesday's Game 3 [2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Dimers' simulation model projects a 61.5% win probability for the Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
MLB Playoffs action continues on Wednesday at 8:00 PM ET as the Tampa Bay Rays take on the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
Max Fried (1-0, 1.50 ERA) will be on the bump for the Yankees, pitting him against Nick Martinez (0-0, 0.00 ERA) for the Rays.
Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Yankees as the most likely winner in this Rays vs. Yankees prediction for Game 3.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Rays vs. Yankees prediction and odds
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Rays and Yankees, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 61.5% chance of defeating the Rays in Game 3 of the series. According to our model, the Rays (+1.5) have a 57.0% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 51.2% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Rays +1.5 (-150) / Yankees -1.5 (+144)
- Moneyline: Rays +150, Yankees -153
- Total: Over/Under 7.5 (+113/-117)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet for Game 3
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Yankees -1.5 @ 41¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Yankees @ 60¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 7.5 @ 47¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Wednesday's MLB Game 3 between the Yankees and Rays at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
- Date: Wednesday, October 7, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 61.5% win probability, will likely beat the Rays in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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