Oct 8, 2026
Guardians vs. White Sox prediction: Why Cleveland is favored to win Thursday's Game 4 [2026]
Read Article MLB postseason player props today: Thursday's best props include Parker Messick [10/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' MLB player props are live for October 8, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Parker Messick, Brenton Doyle and Kyle Teel.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously to analyze every postseason matchup and surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market. Today, our focus is on the Guardians vs. White Sox clash.
List of MLB prop bets for Thursday's playoffs, 10/8
Below are the top 10 MLB player props for October 8, ranked by probability.
Parker Messick over 1.5 earned runs (-118)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 59.1%
- Game: Guardians vs. White Sox (8:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Guardians' Parker Messick over 1.5 earned runs. A probability of 59.1% gives this play an edge of 5.0% at -118 odds.
Brenton Doyle to get a hit (+100)
- Edge: 6.8%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Game: Guardians vs. White Sox (8:00PM ET)
Brenton Doyle’s to get a hit prop shows a 56.8% probability and an 6.8% edge at +100 odds, according to our model.
Kyle Teel to get a hit (-104)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Game: Guardians vs. White Sox (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Kyle Teel to get a hit, with simulations showing a 55.5% probability and a 4.6% edge at -104.
Tommy Pham to get a hit (+120)
- Edge: 8.8%
- Probability: 54.2%
- Game: Guardians vs. White Sox (8:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Tommy Pham to get a hit, with a 54.2% probability and an edge of 8.8% at +120 odds.
Colson Montgomery to get a hit (+110)
- Edge: 5.9%
- Probability: 53.5%
- Game: Guardians vs. White Sox (8:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Colson Montgomery to get a hit for White Sox, showing an edge of 5.9% at +110 odds.
Parker Messick under 14.5 outs recorded (+138)
- Edge: 9.2%
- Probability: 51.2%
- Game: Guardians vs. White Sox (8:00PM ET)
Parker Messick’s outs recorded prop shows an edge of 9.2% at +138 odds, supported by a 51.2% probability according to our model.
Austin Hedges to get a hit (+145)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 47.8%
- Game: Guardians vs. White Sox (8:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Austin Hedges to get a hit for Guardians, with a 47.8% probability and a 7.0% edge at +145 odds.
Munetaka Murakami over 1.5 bases (+200)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 36.8%
- Game: Guardians vs. White Sox (8:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Munetaka Murakami over 1.5 bases, supported by a 36.8% probability at +200 odds and an edge of 3.4%.
Brenton Doyle over 1.5 bases (+215)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 36.0%
- Game: Guardians vs. White Sox (8:00PM ET)
A 4.3% edge on the over 1.5 bases line makes Brenton Doyle a value play in Guardians vs. White Sox, supported by a 36.0% probability at +215 odds.
Colson Montgomery over 1.5 bases (+249)
- Edge: 6.6%
- Probability: 35.3%
- Game: Guardians vs. White Sox (8:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Colson Montgomery over 1.5 bases here, with a 35.3% probability and 6.6% edge at +249 odds.
MLB Playoffs player prop summary: Thursday, October 8, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:56PM ET:
| Prop | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Messick o1.5 earned runs | -118 @ DraftKings | 5.0% | 59.1% |
| Brenton Doyle to get a hit | +100 @ BetRivers | 6.8% | 56.8% |
| Kyle Teel to get a hit | -104 @ DraftKings | 8.8% | 54.2% |
| Tommy Pham to get a hit | +120 @ BetRivers | 8.8% | 54.2% |
| Colson Montgomery to get a hit | +110 @ BetMGM | 5.9% | 53.5% |
| Parker Messick u14.5 outs recorded | +138 @ DraftKings | 9.2% | 51.2% |
| Austin Hedges to get a hit | +145 @ FanDuel | 7.0% | 47.8% |
| Munetaka Murakami o1.5 bases | +200 @ BetMGM | 3.4% | 36.8% |
| Brenton Doyle o1.5 bases | +215 @ Fanatics | 4.3% | 36.0% |
| Colson Montgomery o1.5 bases | +249 @ DraftKings | 6.6% | 35.3% |
Conclusion
For October 8, 2026, our MLB postseason prop bets feature players such as Parker Messick, Brenton Doyle and Kyle Teel. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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