Reds vs. Pirates Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Pirates MLB game on June 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Reds
Brady Singer 3-6, 4.81 ERA
4
9
Jun 28, 1:35 PM ET PNC Park
Pirates
Mitch Keller 5-5, 4.89 ERA
Jun 28, 1:35 PM ET PNC Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Reds
0 0 0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 8 1
Pirates
0 4 0 0 1 0 0 4 X 9 11 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    0%
  • Pirates
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Sal Stewart hits into a force out to shortstop. Elly De La Cruz out at second.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 E. De La Cruz SS4110010.2500.650
2 S. Stewart 3B5120000.4001.000
3 J. Bleday LF3012010.3330.833
4 N. Lowe DH1000000.0000.000
5 S. Steer 1B4000002.0000.000
6 N. Marte RF3100011.0000.250
7 T. Stephenson C3121010.6671.750
8 T. Friedl CF4000000.0000.000
9 E. Arroyo 2B4021002.5001.000
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Griffin SS5010001.2000.400
2 B. Lowe 2B4000013.0000.200
3 B. Reynolds DH3100021.0000.400
4 J. Triolo 3B0000000.0000.000
5 R. O'Hearn 1B5334201.6002.400
6 B. Cook CF0000000.0000.000
7 T. Callihan RF4123111.5001.850
8 J. Mangum LF4000012.0000.200
9 H. Davis C4010002.2500.500

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Reds vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Reds vs. Pirates
  • Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pirates favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Reds +125, Pirates -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Reds: 45%
  • Pirates: 55%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 45%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at PNC Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.