Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Red Sox MLB game on June 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Yankees
Carlos Rodón 4-2, 3.70 ERA
4
5
Fenway Park
Red Sox
Sonny Gray 9-1, 2.95 ERA
Fenway Park
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
Yankees
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 4 3 1
Red Sox
0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 5 6 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    0%
  • Red Sox
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jarren Duran singles to deep right field. Masataka Yoshida scores.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 A. Volpe SS1100010.0000.500
2 B. Rice 1B4000000.0000.000
3 F. Cruz P0000000.0000.000
4 C. Bellinger RF4000002.0000.000
5 M. Schuemann CF1100001.0000.000
6 A. Rosario LF3121010.6671.417
7 O. Cabrera 3B3000001.0000.000
8 A. Wells C4001000.0000.000
9 J. Caballero 2B4110001.2500.500
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Duran LF2011001.5001.000
2 C. Rafaela CF4000000.0000.000
3 W. Abreu RF2100020.0000.500
4 W. Contreras 1B4110002.2500.500
5 R. Gonzalez DH4000000.0000.000
6 C. Durbin 3B4112001.2500.500
7 A. Monasterio PR0100000.0000.000
8 M. Yoshida PH11100001.0003.000
9 T. Cheng SS3001002.0000.000

Yankees vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Red Sox
  • Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
  • Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees +102, Red Sox -102

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 47%
  • Red Sox: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 47%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.