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Read Article MLB picks today: Tuesday's MLB best bets include Guardians vs. White Sox play [6/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Tuesday, June 23, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for June 23, 2026 are here, with Guardians vs. White Sox and Dodgers vs. Twins among the top plays identified by our model across Tuesday’s MLB schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest baseball odds to discover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [6/23, updated 4:36AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Tuesday, June 23, 2026.
Guardians vs. White Sox Over 7.5 runs (+120)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 51.3%
- Matchup: Guardians vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Guardians vs. White Sox at +120 odds. A 51.3% probability produces an edge of 5.8%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Dodgers vs. Twins Over 8.5 runs (-111)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 58.1%
- Matchup: Dodgers vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)
Dodgers vs. Twins over 8.5 runs carries a 5.6% edge and a probability of 58.1% at -111 odds, according to our model.
Braves vs. Padres Over 8.5 runs (+115)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 51.9%
- Matchup: Braves vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)
Braves vs. Padres Over 8.5 runs at +115 odds shows a 5.4% edge, supported by a 51.9% probability in simulations.
Red Sox vs. Rockies over 10.5 runs (-102)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Matchup: Red Sox vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)
A 5.0% edge and 55.5% probability make Red Sox vs. Rockies over 10.5 runs a value play in the Red Sox vs. Rockies matchup, per our model.
Orioles vs. Angels Over 8.5 runs (-111)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 56.9%
- Matchup: Orioles vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)
Orioles vs. Angels Over 8.5 runs at -111 odds presents a 4.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56.9%.
Yankees vs. Tigers Over 7.5 runs (+102)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 53.9%
- Matchup: Yankees vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)
Our model finds value on Over 7.5 runs in Yankees vs. Tigers at +102 odds, supported by an edge of 4.4%.
Astros vs. Blue Jays Over 8.5 runs (-102)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 54.2%
- Matchup: Astros vs. Blue Jays (4:07PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Astros vs. Blue Jays Over 8.5 runs at -102 odds. A 54.2% probability produces a 3.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Over 8.5 runs (+106)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 51.9%
- Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)
A 3.4% edge on a 51.9% probability makes Over 8.5 runs at +106 odds a solid value play in today's Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals matchup.
Mariners vs. Pirates Over 8.5 runs (+111)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 50.9%
- Matchup: Mariners vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)
Our model projects value on Over 8.5 runs at +111 odds. A 50.9% probability produces a 3.4% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.
Rangers vs. Marlins Over 8.5 runs (+104)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 52.2%
- Matchup: Rangers vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Rangers vs. Marlins Over 8.5 runs at +104 odds shows a 52.2% probability and a 3.2% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Tuesday, 6/23/2026
As of 4:36AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians vs. White Sox | Over 7.5 runs | +120 @ Kalshi | 5.8% | 51.3% |
| Dodgers vs. Twins | Over 8.5 runs | -111 @ Kalshi | 5.6% | 58.1% |
| Braves vs. Padres | Over 8.5 Runs | +115 @ Polymarket | 5.4% | 51.9% |
| Red Sox vs. Rockies | Over 10.5 runs | -102 @ Kalshi | 5.0% | 55.5% |
| Orioles vs. Angels | Over 8.5 Runs | -111 @ Polymarket | 4.4% | 56.9% |
| Yankees vs. Tigers | Over 7.5 Runs | +102 @ Polymarket | 4.4% | 53.9% |
| Astros vs. Blue Jays | Over 8.5 Runs | -102 @ Kalshi | 3.7% | 54.2% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals | Over 8.5 Runs | +106 @ Kalshi | 3.4% | 51.9% |
| Mariners vs. Pirates | Over 8.5 Runs | +111 @ Kalshi | 3.4% | 50.9% |
| Rangers vs. Marlins | Over 8.5 Runs | +104 @ Kalshi | 3.2% | 52.2% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [6/23/2026]
- Astros vs. Blue Jays (4:07PM ET, Tuesday)
- Mariners vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Yankees vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Royals vs. Rays (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Rangers vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Phillies vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Tuesday)
- Cubs vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Tuesday)
- Brewers vs. Reds (7:10PM ET, Tuesday)
- Dodgers vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Guardians vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- D-Backs vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Tuesday)
- Red Sox vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Orioles vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Tuesday)
- Braves vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Tuesday)
- Athletics vs. Giants (9:45PM ET, Tuesday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for June 23, 2026, featuring plays such as Over 7.5 runs in the Guardians vs. White Sox matchup and Over 8.5 runs in the Dodgers vs. Twins matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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