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Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction and Odds - Apr 16, 2022

The Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs meet in the NHL at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM EDT.
Dimers' best betting picks for Maple Leafs vs. Senators, as well as game predictions, best odds and player props, are detailed in this article.
Who will win Maple Leafs vs. Senators?
Using high-tech computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Maple Leafs-Senators NHL matchup 10,000 times.
Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Maple Leafs a 64% chance of defeating the Senators.
More: Maple Leafs vs. Senators Simulated 10K Times
Maple Leafs vs. Senators Odds
- Puck Line: Senators +1.5, Maple Leafs -1.5
- Moneyline: Senators +220, Maple Leafs -250
- Total: Over/Under 6.5
Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Senators are +1.5 underdogs against the Maple Leafs, with -120 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.
For the favored Maple Leafs (-1.5) to cover the puck line, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at +105.
Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Senators at +220. That means you can bet $100 to profit $220, earning a total payout of $320, if they win.
Elsewhere, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -250, where you can risk $250 to win $100, for a total payout of $350, if they come out on top.
The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -115, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at +100.
As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Senators (+1.5) are a 58% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
More: Best Bets Today for All Major Sports
Best Bets for Maple Leafs vs. Senators
- Puck Line: Senators +1.5 @ -120 via BetMGM (58% probability)
- Moneyline: Senators @ +220 via Caesars Sportsbook (4.2% edge) 🔥
- Total: Under 6.5 @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook (50% probability)
Any time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best free picks of the day across all sports.
Dimers' best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting intelligence to serve you the best possible plays 24/7/365.
While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Senators moneyline is the best option because of the 4.2% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers.com is pivotal to being a profitable sports bettor in the long run.
Maple Leafs vs. Senators Betting Guide
Use our widget below to see the latest Moneyline, Over/Under and Puck Line probabilities and odds for Toronto vs. Ottawa, and click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.
Dimers has full coverage of Saturday's Maple Leafs-Senators matchup, including pre-game predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.
Maple Leafs vs. Senators Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Senators? The latest data is in.
Featured below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Maple Leafs and Senators.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop bets for Saturday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Senators.
DimersBOT gives Matthews a 12.2% chance of scoring the first goal at Canadian Tire Centre, while the Maple Leafs star is a 54.1% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Prediction
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Auston Matthews: 12.2% probability
- Mitch Marner: 6.1% probability
- William Nylander: 6.1% probability
- John Tavares: 5.2% probability
- Michael Bunting: 3.6% probability
Ottawa Senators
- Josh Norris: 6.8% probability
- Drake Batherson: 5.6% probability
- Tim Stutzle: 5.1% probability
- Brady Tkachuk: 5.0% probability
- Connor Brown: 3.2% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Prediction
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Auston Matthews: 54.1% probability
- William Nylander: 34.4% probability
- Mitch Marner: 31.1% probability
- John Tavares: 30.3% probability
- Michael Bunting: 21.8% probability
Ottawa Senators
- Josh Norris: 37.4% probability
- Brady Tkachuk: 30.5% probability
- Tim Stutzle: 28.1% probability
- Drake Batherson: 26.6% probability
- Connor Brown: 19.6% probability
Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep checking this article for any changes to our betting insights before Maple Leafs vs. Senators on Saturday April 16, 2022.
Maple Leafs-Senators Overtime Insurance Promo
Enjoy some peace of mind when betting on Toronto vs. Ottawa this Saturday thanks to BetMGM.
If you place a bet on Maple Leafs vs. Senators and your team loses in overtime, BetMGM will refund you up to $25 in Free Bets.
Simply register with BetMGM using this exclusive link, opt in to the NHL Overtime Insurance promotion, and place a moneyline wager on Toronto vs. Ottawa.
This offer is available to all BetMGM users, and it's one of our favorite promos!
Note: when you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may earn a referral fee.
Maple Leafs vs. Senators 2022 Game Info
When do the Senators play the Maple Leafs?
- Date: Saturday April 16, 2022
- Time: 7:00PM EDT / 4:00PM PDT
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
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What NHL games are on today?
The Maple Leafs and Senators aren't the only two NHL teams you can bet on today. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and top bets for each and every NHL game in our NHL Bet Hub section.
Not only do we provide with you great predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Puck Line, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Check it out today!
