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Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Maple Leafs vs. Senators NHL game on April 16, 2022 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NHL
FINAL
NHL
5
4
Apr 16, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
Apr 16, 11PM Canadian Tire Centre
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
Senators | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maple Leafs | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
Senators | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
OT1 03:26 Goal scored by Mark Giordano assisted by William Nylander
OT1 03:14 Shot missed by John Tavares
OT1 02:36 Shot missed by Mitch Marner
OT1 02:35 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Anton Forsberg
OT1 02:10 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
OT1 01:44 Shot missed by Ilya Mikheyev
OT1 01:16 Shot missed by William Nylander
OT1 01:03 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Erik Kallgren
OT1 00:15 Artem Zub shot blocked by Auston Matthews
P3 19:59 Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 18:54 Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
P3 18:38 Shot missed by Auston Matthews
P3 18:32 Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Erik Kallgren
P3 18:19 Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 18:14 Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
P3 17:00 Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Erik Kallgren
P3 16:57 Shot missed by Josh Norris
P3 15:20 Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
P3 14:42 Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Anton Forsberg
P3 13:57 Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Anton Forsberg
Play by Play
P1
P2
P3
OT
GOALS
ALL
End of 1st OT.
End of 1st OT.
GOAL
Goal scored by Mark Giordano assisted by William Nylander
5-4
SHOT
Shot missed by John Tavares
John Tavares won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - Video Review
SHOT
Shot missed by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot missed by Ilya Mikheyev
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Auston Matthews
Josh Norris won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 3rd Period.
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Anton Forsberg
Giveaway by Artem Zub in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Josh Norris won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
John Tavares won faceoff against Drake Batherson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
Auston Matthews credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Auston Matthews
SHOT
Shot on goal by Connor Brown saved by Erik Kallgren
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot missed by Pierre Engvall
Tim Stutzle credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
Giveaway by Drake Batherson in neutral zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Drake Batherson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Josh Norris in defensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Auston Matthews in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Norris
Austin Watson credited with hit on Justin Holl in neutral zone
Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Drake Batherson in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Anton Forsberg
Austin Watson credited with hit on Michael Bunting in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by T.J. Brodie saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Anton Forsberg
Giveaway by Erik Brannstrom in defensive zone
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in offensive zone
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by John Tavares saved by Anton Forsberg
Nikita Zaitsev credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Shot on goal by Dylan Gambrell saved by Erik Kallgren
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
Drake Batherson won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Hamonic saved by Erik Kallgren
Senators credited with hit on John Tavares in defensive zone
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Morgan Rielly in neutral zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by Michael Bunting and Auston Matthews
4-4
Giveaway by Josh Norris in defensive zone
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Justin Holl in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Justin Holl
Dylan Gambrell won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
SHOT
Shot missed by William Nylander
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Nick Holden
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Josh Norris in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Josh Norris won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Holl saved by Anton Forsberg
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tim Stutzle
3-4
Giveaway by Ilya Lyubushkin in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
Austin Watson credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
Pierre Engvall won faceoff against Dylan Gambrell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Pierre Engvall shot blocked by Erik Brannstrom
Chris Tierney won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Alex Formenton shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
SHOT
Shot on goal by Justin Holl saved by Anton Forsberg
John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in offensive zone
SHOT
Connor Brown shot blocked by Mark Giordano
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Michael Del Zotto
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Josh Norris won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Nikita Zaitsev
SHOT
Shot missed by Jason Spezza
SHOT
Shot missed by Kyle Clifford
Nick Holden credited with hit on Colin Blackwell in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Dylan Gambrell
SHOT
Shot on goal by Pierre Engvall saved by Anton Forsberg
Giveaway by Ilya Mikheyev in offensive zone
SHOT
John Tavares shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
Tim Stutzle credited with hit on Justin Holl in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Nikita Zaitsev
SHOT
Timothy Liljegren shot blocked by Alex Formenton
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Anton Forsberg
Josh Norris won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
End of 2nd Period.
SHOT
Josh Norris shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Hamonic saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Brady Tkachuk
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Anton Forsberg
Michael Bunting credited with hit in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Anton Forsberg
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Mitch Marner assisted by T.J. Brodie
3-3
Giveaway by Nikita Zaitsev in defensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Auston Matthews in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Giveaway by Victor Mete in neutral zone
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Mark Giordano in neutral zone
Austin Watson credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
Giveaway by Mark Giordano in defensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot missed by Connor Brown
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
Michael Del Zotto credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Anton Forsberg
Drake Batherson won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
SHOT
Maple Leafs shot blocked by Austin Watson
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Anton Forsberg
Ilya Mikheyev credited with hit on Artem Zub in offensive zone
Dylan Gambrell won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Auston Matthews saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Erik Kallgren
Morgan Rielly credited with hit on Dylan Gambrell in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Anton Forsberg
T.J. Brodie credited with hit on Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
SHOT
William Nylander shot blocked by Travis Hamonic
SHOT
Shot missed by T.J. Brodie
Giveaway by Travis Hamonic in defensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Michael Bunting assisted by Mark Giordano
2-3
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
SHOT
Auston Matthews shot blocked by Parker Kelly
SHOT
Shot on goal by Erik Brannstrom saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Adam Gaudette saved by Erik Kallgren
Dylan Gambrell won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Senators saved by Erik Kallgren
GOAL
Goal scored by Dylan Gambrell assisted by Austin Watson and Erik Brannstrom
1-3
Dylan Gambrell won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zaitsev saved by Erik Kallgren
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Connor Brown shot blocked by T.J. Brodie
Giveaway by Justin Holl in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Crowd
Giveaway by Brady Tkachuk in offensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against John Tavares in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Norris
SHOT
Artem Zub shot blocked by Mark Giordano
Giveaway by Mark Giordano in defensive zone
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Timothy Liljegren in offensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Erik Kallgren
John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck Frozen
John Tavares won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nick Holden saved by Erik Kallgren
Colin Blackwell credited with hit on Michael Del Zotto in neutral zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Hamonic saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Hamonic saved by Erik Kallgren
Josh Norris won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Drake Batherson won faceoff against William Nylander in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
SHOT
Shot on goal by Nikita Zaitsev saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Shot missed by Nick Holden
Giveaway by Mark Giordano in defensive zone
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Mitch Marner in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Austin Watson in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Austin Watson shot blocked by John Tavares
John Tavares won faceoff against Dylan Gambrell in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Parker Kelly saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Mitch Marner shot blocked by Nick Holden
Justin Holl credited with hit on Brady Tkachuk in neutral zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Josh Norris in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Kyle Clifford assisted by Justin Holl and Mark Giordano
1-2
SHOT
Shot missed by Alex Formenton
Timothy Liljegren credited with hit on Alex Formenton in defensive zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against Colin Blackwell in neutral zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Senators credited with hit on David Kampf in offensive zone
David Kampf won faceoff against Dylan Gambrell in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
SHOT
Travis Hamonic shot blocked by John Tavares
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alex Formenton saved by Erik Kallgren
Chris Tierney won faceoff against John Tavares in neutral zone
Stoppage - Net Dislodged Offensive Skater
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Drake Batherson saved by Erik Kallgren
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
End of 1st Period.
Power play - Chris Tierney won faceoff against Alexander Kerfoot in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Power play - Josh Norris won faceoff against David Kampf in offensive zone
Penalty to William Nylander 2 minutes for Interference (Drawn by Tim Stutzle)
SHOT
Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Anton Forsberg
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against David Kampf in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Mikheyev saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Nikita Zaitsev shot blocked by Mitch Marner
SHOT
Shot on goal by Josh Norris saved by Erik Kallgren
Mark Giordano credited with hit on Connor Brown in defensive zone
Giveaway by Chris Tierney in neutral zone
Giveaway by Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
Tim Stutzle won faceoff against David Kampf in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Michael Del Zotto assisted by Connor Brown
0-2
Josh Norris won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG) - TV timeout
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Anton Forsberg
Giveaway by Adam Gaudette in defensive zone
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Dylan Gambrell in offensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Austin Watson credited with hit on Ilya Lyubushkin in defensive zone
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Dylan Gambrell in neutral zone
GOAL
Goal scored by Tim Stutzle assisted by Brady Tkachuk
0-1
SHOT
T.J. Brodie shot blocked by Michael Del Zotto
SHOT
Shot missed by Tim Stutzle
Takeaway by Michael Del Zotto in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Michael Bunting saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mark Giordano saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shorthanded - Shot on goal by Nick Holden saved by Erik Kallgren
SHOT
Power play - Shot missed by Auston Matthews
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Josh Norris in offensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Mitch Marner saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shorthanded - Connor Brown shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Connor Brown in offensive zone
Penalty to Nikita Zaitsev 2 minutes for Tripping (Drawn by Auston Matthews)
Takeaway by Auston Matthews in offensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Timothy Liljegren
Auston Matthews won faceoff against Brady Tkachuk in offensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Benches - TV timeout
Ilya Mikheyev credited with hit on Travis Hamonic in offensive zone
SHOT
Alexander Kerfoot shot blocked by Michael Del Zotto
Justin Holl credited with hit on Victor Mete in neutral zone
Chris Tierney won faceoff against John Tavares in defensive zone
Stoppage - Puck in Netting
Nikita Zaitsev credited with hit on Mitch Marner in defensive zone
SHOT
Mark Giordano shot blocked by Austin Watson
Giveaway by Travis Hamonic in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Josh Norris
Josh Norris won faceoff against Jason Spezza in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Jason Spezza saved by Anton Forsberg
Colin Blackwell won faceoff against Tim Stutzle in neutral zone
Stoppage - Offside
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on Alexander Kerfoot in defensive zone
Giveaway by Artem Zub in offensive zone
Power play - Giveaway by Jason Spezza in neutral zone
Power play - Mark Giordano credited with hit on Connor Brown in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Anton Forsberg
Shorthanded - Giveaway by Parker Kelly in defensive zone
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by William Nylander saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Power play - Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Anton Forsberg
Power play - John Tavares won faceoff against Connor Brown in offensive zone
Penalty to Brady Tkachuk 2 minutes for Cross Checking (Drawn by Justin Holl)
Brady Tkachuk credited with hit on T.J. Brodie in offensive zone
Travis Hamonic credited with hit on David Kampf in defensive zone
SHOT
Austin Watson shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Parker Kelly in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot missed by Drake Batherson
SHOT
Shot missed by Alexander Kerfoot
Drake Batherson credited with hit on Mark Giordano in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Alexander Kerfoot saved by Anton Forsberg
Giveaway by Anton Forsberg in defensive zone
John Tavares won faceoff against Drake Batherson in defensive zone
Stoppage - Goalie Stopped (after SOG)
SHOT
Shot on goal by Travis Hamonic saved by Erik Kallgren
Giveaway by Mitch Marner in offensive zone
Alex Formenton credited with hit on Michael Bunting in defensive zone
SHOT
Shot on goal by Brady Tkachuk saved by Erik Kallgren
Victor Mete credited with hit on Ilya Lyubushkin in defensive zone
SHOT
Kyle Clifford shot blocked by Nick Holden
SHOT
Shot on goal by Ilya Lyubushkin saved by Anton Forsberg
SHOT
Shot on goal by Morgan Rielly saved by Anton Forsberg
Dylan Gambrell won faceoff against Jason Spezza in defensive zone
Stoppage - Icing
Parker Kelly credited with hit on Mark Giordano in offensive zone
Alex Formenton credited with hit on Ilya Mikheyev in neutral zone
Giveaway by Ilya Mikheyev in offensive zone
Senators credited with hit on Ilya Lyubushkin in offensive zone
Ilya Lyubushkin credited with hit on Connor Brown in defensive zone
Josh Norris won faceoff against Auston Matthews in neutral zone
Game Setup.
Stats
| STATS | |
|---|
| 41 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 51% | Faceoff Win % | 49% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 17 | Hits | 29 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 10 | Giveaways | 17 |
| |
|---|
| 41 | Shots on Goal | 29 | |||
| 51% | Faceoff Win % | 49% | |||
| 2/0 | PP Opportunities/PP Goals | 1/0 | |||
| 2 | Penalty Infraction Mins | 4 | |||
| 17 | Hits | 29 | |||
| 11 | Shots Blocked | 16 | |||
| 10 | Giveaways | 17 |
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Maple Leafs vs. Senators: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Maple Leafs vs. Senators
- Date: Saturday, April 16, 2022
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Maple Leafs favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5
- Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -245, Senators +220
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Maple Leafs: 62%
- Senators: 37%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Maple Leafs a win probability of 62%, while the Senators have a win probability of 37%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Maple Leafs are more likely to beat the Senators in the NHL game at Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Maple Leafs vs. Senators predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NHL predictions and the best NHL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NHL props, NHL futures, NHL odds, and the latest NHL news.
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