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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction and Odds - Nov 26, 2022

The Pittsburgh Penguins square off with the Toronto Maple Leafs in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday, starting at 7:00PM ET.
Dimers' top betting picks for Maple Leafs vs. Penguins, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.
Who will win Maple Leafs vs. Penguins?
Based on cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Saturday's Maple Leafs-Penguins NHL matchup 10,000 times.
Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Penguins a 52% chance of winning against the Maple Leafs.
More: Full Betting Guide for Maple Leafs vs. Penguins
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Odds
- Puck Line: Penguins -1.5 (+198), Maple Leafs +1.5 (-215)
- Moneyline: Penguins -125, Maple Leafs +115
- Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-120/+105)
Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Penguins are -1.5 favorites versus the Maple Leafs, with +198 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
For the underdog Maple Leafs (+1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -215.
FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Penguins at -125, which means you can risk $125 to win $100, for a total payout of $225, if they get the W.
Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at +115, where you can bet $100 to profit $115, earning a total payout of $215, if they win.
The Over/Under sits at 6.5 with DraftKings Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -120, while BetMGM currently has the best odds for the Under at +105.
As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) are a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals is a 51% chance of going Over.
More: Best Prop Bets Today
Best Bets for Maple Leafs vs. Penguins
- Puck Line: Maple Leafs +1.5 @ -215 via DraftKings Sportsbook (69% probability)
- Moneyline: Maple Leafs @ +115 via DraftKings Sportsbook (1.1% edge)
- Total: Under 6.5 @ +105 via BetMGM (0.1% edge)
Dimers' best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every time.
While the Penguins are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Maple Leafs moneyline is the best option because of the 1.1% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit on this occasion, Under 6.5 is our best bet on account of the better odds (+105) that are available from BetMGM.
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Prediction
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Dimers has full coverage of Saturday's Maple Leafs-Penguins matchup, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live scores.
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Player Props
Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Penguins? The latest data is in.
Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Maple Leafs and Penguins.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Saturday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Penguins.
DimersBOT gives Matthews a 10.1% chance of scoring the first goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 48.2% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Probabilities
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Auston Matthews: 10.1% probability
- William Nylander: 6.4% probability
- Mitch Marner: 5.4% probability
- John Tavares: 5.3% probability
- Michael Bunting: 4.0% probability
Pittsburgh Penguins
- Jake Guentzel: 7.4% probability
- Sidney Crosby: 6.2% probability
- Evgeni Malkin: 4.8% probability
- Rickard Rakell: 4.5% probability
- Bryan Rust: 4.3% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities
Toronto Maple Leafs
- Auston Matthews: 48.2% probability
- William Nylander: 34.5% probability
- Mitch Marner: 31.7% probability
- John Tavares: 31.1% probability
- Michael Bunting: 24.4% probability
Pittsburgh Penguins
- Jake Guentzel: 37.8% probability
- Sidney Crosby: 34.3% probability
- Evgeni Malkin: 27.9% probability
- Rickard Rakell: 26.3% probability
- Bryan Rust: 25.0% probability
Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting insights before Maple Leafs vs. Penguins on Saturday November 26, 2022.
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins 2022 Game Info
Saturday's action between the Penguins and Maple Leafs at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Saturday November 26, 2022
- Time: 7:00PM ET / 4:00PM PT
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
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What other NHL games are on tonight?
Now you've got the 411 on Maple Leafs vs. Penguins, take a look at the latest betting analysis for all upcoming NHL games in Dimers' NHL Bet Hub. There you can find probabilities and odds, as well as our best bets for every single NHL matchup.
Want a pick for the Puck Line? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!
