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Sparks vs. Mercury Prediction: Phoenix Predicted to Win Wednesday's WNBA Matchup [5/21/2025]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Our expert prediction for Wednesday's Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury matchup.

Los Angeles Sparks-Phoenix Mercury Predictions and Game Preview.
PHX Arena sets the stage for the WNBA matchup between the Los Angeles Sparks and Phoenix Mercury this Wednesday.

The Phoenix Mercury and Los Angeles Sparks will meet in the WNBA at PHX Arena on Wednesday, with tipoff at 10:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Los Angeles-Phoenix game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Mercury's chance of winning at 71%, with the Sparks at 29%."

The Mercury, with the likes of Satou Sabally, Alyssa Thomas and Kalani Brown, are set to take on the Sparks, who feature Kelsey Plum, Dearica Hamby and Azura Stevens.

For a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Sparks vs. Mercury predictions page.

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Mercury vs. Sparks Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Sparks and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mercury a 71% chance of defeating the Sparks.

According to our model, the Mercury (-4.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 159.5-point over/under has a 65% chance of going over.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 2:02AM, May 22
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Sparks
Mercury -4.5
47%
53%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Mercury
Sparks LA
Mercury -4.5
47%
53%
See Matchup
Mercury PHX
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Sparks vs. Mercury Odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Sparks Mercury
Spread +4.5 (-105) -4.5 (-110)
Moneyline +172 -200
Total o159.5 (-110) u159.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Sparks vs. Mercury Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Sparks vs. Mercury matchup is on the spread.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Sparks vs. Mercury Player Props

Looking for Sparks vs. Mercury WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at PHX Arena.

Kelsey Plum is expected to lead the Sparks in scoring, while Satou Sabally is projected to be the top scorer for the Mercury.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every WNBA Game
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Sparks vs. Mercury Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's action between the Mercury and Sparks at PHX Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Wednesday's Sparks vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Los Angeles vs. Phoenix picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Mercury, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sparks vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on WNBA

Stay informed with the latest WNBA betting news and WNBA parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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