Jul 24, 2025
5 Essential Sports Betting Strategies for Smart Bettors (Powered by Dimers.com Insights)
Read Article Falcons vs. Saints Week 15 Prediction and Odds - Dec 18, 2022
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
The New Orleans Saints take on the Atlanta Falcons in NFL Week 15 action at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.
Dimers' best betting picks for Falcons vs. Saints, plus our score prediction, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are detailed in this article.
New Customers
Get In on the Action
Join Now
Who will win Falcons vs. Saints?
Using advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Falcons-Saints NFL matchup 10,000 times.
Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Saints a 64% chance of defeating the Falcons in Week 15 of the NFL season.
More: Free Betting Guide for Falcons vs. Saints
Falcons vs. Saints Game Odds
- Spread: Saints -4.5 (-105), Falcons +4.5 (-107)
- Moneyline: Saints -200, Falcons +175
- Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-107/-107)
Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Saints are -4.5 favorites against the Falcons, with -105 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
For the underdog Falcons (+4.5) to cover the spread, PointsBet has the best odds currently on offer at -107.
BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Saints at -200. That means you can risk $200 to win $100, for a total payout of $300, if they get the W.
Meanwhile, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Falcons at +175, where you can bet $100 to profit $175, earning a total payout of $275, if they win.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 43.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -107, as well as the best odds for the Under at -107.
As always, make sure you check all of the online sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Falcons (+4.5) are a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 43.5-point Over/Under is a 54% chance of going Under.
More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today
Best Bets for Falcons vs. Saints
- Spread: Falcons +4.5 @ -107 via PointsBet (54% probability)
- Moneyline: Falcons @ +175 via PointsBet
- Total: Under 43.5 @ -107 via PointsBet (54% probability)
Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting intelligence to help you make smarter investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.
While the Saints are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Falcons moneyline is the best option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Falcons vs. Saints Prediction
Dimers.com's predicted final score for Atlanta vs. New Orleans at Caesars Superdome in Week 15 has the Saints winning 23-19.
Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 5:45PM, Dec 18
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Falcons-Saints matchup in Week 15, including pregame predictions, free betting picks, and live scores.
Falcons vs. Saints Player Props
Who will score the first touchdown in Falcons vs. Saints? The latest data is in.
Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Falcons and Saints, as well as player stat projections.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Sunday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Atlanta's Desmond Ridder is most likely to score the first TD in Falcons vs. Saints.
DimersBOT gives Ridder an 11.6% chance of scoring the first TD at Caesars Superdome, while the Falcons QB is a 46.2% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.
Bet on the Big Game 🏈
Up to $1,000 💰
Get it back if you lose ✅
First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Atlanta Falcons
- Desmond Ridder: 11.6% probability
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 7.4% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 5.3% probability
- Drake London: 5.2% probability
- Caleb Huntley: 3.1% probability
New Orleans Saints
- Alvin Kamara: 11.0% probability
- Chris Olave: 8.7% probability
- Taysom Hill: 7.2% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 7.0% probability
- Rashid Shaheed: 4.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Atlanta Falcons
- Desmond Ridder: 46.2% probability
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 31.6% probability
- Tyler Allgeier: 23.9% probability
- Drake London: 23.8% probability
- Caleb Huntley: 14.4% probability
New Orleans Saints
- Alvin Kamara: 45.0% probability
- Chris Olave: 37.0% probability
- Taysom Hill: 31.1% probability
- Juwan Johnson: 30.4% probability
- Rashid Shaheed: 21.6% probability
Falcons-Saints Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Falcons' Desmond Ridder is projected to have a quiet game with 166 passing yards. The Saints' Andy Dalton is expected to throw for 260 yards.
Falcons Starting QB
- Desmond Ridder: 166 projected yards
Saints Starting QB
- Andy Dalton: 260 projected yards
Falcons Rushing
- Cordarrelle Patterson: 51 projected yards
- Tyler Allgeier: 41 projected yards
- Desmond Ridder: 34 projected yards
Saints Rushing
- Alvin Kamara: 51 projected yards
- Taysom Hill: 17 projected yards
- Eno Benjamin: 9 projected yards
Falcons Receiving
- Drake London: 40 projected yards
- Olamide Zaccheaus: 26 projected yards
- MyCole Pruitt: 19 projected yards
- Parker Hesse: 17 projected yards
- Damiere Byrd: 16 projected yards
Saints Receiving
- Chris Olave: 60 projected yards
- Alvin Kamara: 35 projected yards
- Jarvis Landry: 34 projected yards
- Juwan Johnson: 31 projected yards
- Rashid Shaheed: 29 projected yards
Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting insights ahead of Falcons vs. Saints on Sunday December 18, 2022.
Falcons vs. Saints 2022
The NFL Week 15 game between the Saints and Falcons at Caesars Superdome is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints
- Date: Sunday December 18, 2022
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: Caesars Superdome
Enjoy Dimers and want to keep the site free? Every time you join a sportsbook featured here, we get paid a small fee.
These fees help us keep Dimers free for all sports fans. So, if you like what you see, support us by joining one of our trusted sports betting partners today.
Want more NFL previews like this?
To get more NFL betting predictions like you've just read for Falcons vs. Saints, all you've gotta do is visit Dimers' NFL Betting News section. It's that easy – they're all there!
We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can write the best NFL betting previews available. We do this by comparing our in-house probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) as soon as they go live.
So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.
Written by
Dimers Data Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.
Advertiser disclosure
Swipe across to view more offers 
