Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers: Our NFL Same Game Parlay for the NFC Championship

It's Conference Championship weekend! We have just three NFL games left in the entire season, with the NFC Championship between the Detroit Lions and San Francisco 49ers closing out Sunday night. We've sourced this parlay by using our best NFL props, powered by our cutting-edge predictive analytics models. By running 1000s of simulations on each game, Dimers can source the best NFL bets and best parlay picks to make each and every day.

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RELATED: Fade or Follow: The Most Popular NFL Props on Championship Sunday

Our +607 Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers Same Game Parlay

+607 NFC Championship Parlay Analysis

Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers - Sunday, January 28, 6:30PM ET

LEG 1: Christian McCaffrey (SF) Over 4.5 Receptions (-118)

Nothing better than including superstars in your parlay and that's what we've got here with Christian McCaffrey as our opening leg. Our model is loving the value on Christian McCaffrey this weekend; he's featured in our +1720 longshot TD parlay as well as in these three special market props we've found. But here, we're zeroing in on just one of his many talents, and that's as a receiving threat out of the backfield.

Our model likes the over on his yards prop at 36.5, but it's moved a couple of times and it's not a mark he hits consistently. It offers value though, so consider at as a play on its own. Instead, turn to his receptions prop at 4.5. This is a mark he's hit in three of his last four, seeing 12 targets last week alone. He's always a final read for Brock Purdy if the main play isn't there, giving us a great opportunity at this number.

MORE: Our Best NFL Prop Picks for the Conference Championships

LEG 2: Josh Reynolds (DET) Under 35.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

We know, an under in a playoff game might have you shaking your head, but it's one our model favors very strongly, as well as one that's well-backed by the Lions' tendencies. Reynolds hit this mark in the Lions' playoff opener with the Rams, but went under last week. Going over this mark is more anomalous for Reynolds than anything, as he rarely even sees more than four targets and had ten games with two receptions or fewer, including the postseason, going under this yards mark in all but two of those.

DimersBOT projects Reynolds for a 27-yard performance, with a 74.9% probability of going under his 35.5 yards line. The 49ers defense should give Jared Goff fits, leaving little room for Reynolds to pick up the yards he needs to go over.

LEG 3: Brandon Aiyuk (SF) Anytime TD (+115)

The final leg of our parlay is a TD prop as always and we're leaning into the health of the Niners' receiving corps a bit with this one. Deebo Samuel exited the Niners' divisional round matchup with the Packers with a shoulder injury, though he's now been cleared to play on Sunday. Decoy or full-go? We won't know until this game is well underway, so we'll look to their other big dog receiver who gets a 41.1% probability to score. If Deebo isn't commanidng a normal workload, that number goes up. 

Aiyuk scored seven touchdowns this year and was a top-7 receiver while ranking 30th in targets. Less is more for Aiyuk and he steps up in big moments, and few are bigger than the NFC Championship.

🏈 Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers

NFL +607 Same Game Parlay Sunday, January 28, 2024

1️⃣ Christian McCaffrey (SF) Over 4.5 Receptions
2️⃣ Josh Reynolds (DET) Under 35.5 Receiving Yards
3️⃣ Brandon Aiyuk (SF) Anytime TD

The best odds for this SGP are over at FanDuel Sportsbook as of publishing and are subject to change.

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