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Reds vs. Red Sox Prediction: Boston Predicted to Win Wednesday's MLB Matchup [7/2/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert prediction for Wednesday's Cincinnati Reds vs Boston Red Sox matchup.

Cincinnati Reds-Boston Red Sox Predictions and Game Preview.
Fenway Park sets the stage for the MLB matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Boston Red Sox this Wednesday.

The Boston Red Sox will take on the Cincinnati Reds in MLB action at Fenway Park on Wednesday, commencing at 7:10PM ET.

The Red Sox will send Brayan Bello (3-3, 3.41 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Nick Martinez (5-8, 4.12 ERA) for the Reds.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Red Sox as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Reds-Red Sox game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Red Sox' chance of winning at 56%, with the Reds at 44%."

For a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Reds vs. Red Sox predictions page.

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Red Sox vs. Reds Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB game between the Reds and Red Sox 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Red Sox a 56% chance of beating the Reds.

According to our model, the Reds (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 9.5 runs has a 54% chance of staying under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 1:28AM, Jul 3
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Reds
Win %
62%
38%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Red Sox
Reds CIN
Win %
62%
38%
See Matchup
Red Sox BOS
Nick Martinez 5-8, 4.12 ERA
Brennan Bernardino 3-2, 4.26 ERA
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Reds vs. Red Sox Odds [7/2/2025]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Reds Red Sox
Run Line +1.5 (-175) -1.5 (+150)
Moneyline +110 -130
Total o9.5 (-110) u9.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Reds vs. Red Sox Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Reds vs. Red Sox matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Unlock Every Reds-Red Sox Pick

Calling Our Shot's Free MLB Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the best bets featured below.

Reds vs. Red Sox Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Wednesday's MLB action between the Red Sox and Reds at Fenway Park is scheduled to begin at 7:10PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Reds vs. Red Sox matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Reds vs. Red Sox picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key MLB Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict the Red Sox, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Reds on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Reds vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Keep up with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the most up-to-date projections for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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