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Best MLB Betting Picks and Parlays: Wednesday May 19, 2021
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
A 2-1 day yesterday on our MLB plays has us back to our lethal best. We're rolling into Wednesday with a head full of steam.
It's Wednesday May 19, and, as always, we've simulated all of tonight's games 10,000 times each determining where the value lies for baseball bettors across the United States.
With MLB betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for tonight's games.
Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on in every game via our MLB Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.
Just want picks? Sure thing. Visit our Quick Picks section and get the lowdown on the best bets for all pro and college sports.
Almost ready to join a sportsbook and start betting online?
We’ve listed the best available sign-up bonus offers for each legal betting state at the bottom of this article!
Here is what the data is telling us for today's MLB games ⏬
White Sox @ Twins
BET: 🔥 Total runs OVER 8.5 with Unibet (-120)
📈 54.5% probability
After these two teams combined for 20 runs on Monday and 9 runs on Tuesday, is there any doubt that we're taking the Over again today?
We get a favorable pitching matchup with Twins SP Matt Shoemaker's ERA sitting at 6.62 so far this season. It's a strategy that has worked very well for us up until this point.
Sign up with Unibet today. Virginia residents get a $100 FREE BET - No Deposit Required. Not from VA? That's ok. Unibet still offers free $40 and $20 bets to new customers in New Jersey, Pennsylvania and Indiana - also with no deposit required!
MORE: White Sox @ Twins predictions
Marlins @ Phillies
BET: 🔥 Marlins at the moneyline (+114) with William Hill Sportsbook
📈 3.1% edge on the sportsbooks' odds
We've got an underdog alert in this one as the Marlins take on the Phillies with starting Miami pitcher Trevor Rogers looking to build on his impressive 5-2 record as SP this season.
To go with that record is an ERA of 1.94 from 44 pitched innings. That's immense - in fact, it's in the top five among all pitchers. If the Marlins can build on his start, there should be no problems cashing this one.
For a play like this, it's hard to look past this offer from William Hill Sportsbook who are giving new customers in certain states a RISK-FREE bet up to $500 - see if your state is one of them here. Basically, you can deposit as much or as little as you like (we recommend around $50) and then place your bet on our play. If we get it right, you cash in! If not, that's okay - they'll give you your money back to use again on another bet.
MORE: Marlins @ Phillies predictions
Astros @ Athletics
BET: 🔥 Total runs OVER 8.5 with BetMGM (-106)
📈 54.1% probability
We love an Overs play here at Dimers. Sue us. Both teams like to play offensive-based baseball, particularly the Astros who rank second for runs scored per game at 5.34. Last night's series opener between these two yielded 11 runs and our data projections anticipates yet another slugfest.
MORE: Astros @ Athletics predictions
To best use this pick, you can't go wrong when signing up to BetMGM where new customers you can cash in even if your bet doesn't win!
Simply deposit $20 into your account, place your bet, and then wait for the money to come in, regardless of the result! It's free money.
MLB Wednesday Parlay
Want to parlay our MLB picks? Do it with Unibet. Why? Because Unibet offer you a free bet bonus upon sign up without even having to deposit cash! No other 'books allow you to bet with free money before depositing, so use this completely free hit while you can. Virginia residents get a $100 free hit, while other states still receive $20.
Available in: NJ | PA | IN | VA
🔥 White Sox/Twins o8.5 runs
🔥 Marlins ML
🔥 Astros @ Athletics o8.5 runs
💰 Parlay with UniBet (+662)
MORE PICKS:
🏀 READ: SPURS @ GRIZZLIES PREVIEW
🏀 READ: WARRIORS @ LAKERS PREVIEW
🏀 READ: TODAY'S NBA PROPS
🏒 READ: TODAY'S NHL PICKS
💰 READ: TODAY'S MULTI-SPORT PARLAY
Ready to join a Sportsbook and start betting online? We’ve listed the best available Welcome Offers for each legal betting state.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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