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Hawks vs. Warriors prediction: Golden State to win, Stephen Curry projected for 29 points in Sunday's NBA game [1/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Sunday.
NBA action continues on Sunday at 8:30 PM ET as the Atlanta Hawks take on the favored Golden State Warriors at Chase Center.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Hawks vs. Warriors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature stars like Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler and De'Anthony Melton, while the Hawks will look to Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Onyeka Okongwu.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Hawks vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Hawks and Warriors 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Warriors a 68% chance of beating the Hawks. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 119-114.
According to our model, the Hawks (+5.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 237.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Hawks vs. Warriors odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Hawks | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-102) | -5.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | +190 | -225 |
| Total | o237.5 (-110) | u237.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Hawks vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Hawks +5.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Warriors | -225 |
| Total | Under 237.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Under 237.5 total points.
Hawks vs. Warriors player props
Looking for Atlanta vs. Golden State NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Jalen Johnson is expected to lead the Hawks with 22 points, 10 rebounds and 8 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 29 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Warriors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Hawks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Hawks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 22 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 53 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 18 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 34 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 15 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| K. Porzingis | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| CJ McCollum | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 26 |
Warriors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 29 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 50 |
| Jimmy Butler | 21 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 42 |
| D. Melton | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| Moses Moody | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 |
| B. Podziemski | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
Hawks vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Warriors and Hawks at Chase Center is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Hawks on Sunday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 53 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Hawks vs. Warriors insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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