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Alexander Zverev vs. Matteo Arnaldi Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Mexico Open 2025

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Written by Dave Garofolo

Our expert prediction for Tuesday's Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Arnaldi matchup.

Alexander Zverev vs Matteo Arnaldi Tennis Prediction.
Our Alexander Zverev and Matteo Arnaldi tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Alexander Zverev and Matteo Arnaldi will meet in the round of 32 of the ATP Mexico Open event on Tuesday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Alexander Zverev as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Zverev-Arnaldi match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows Alexander Zverev with a win probability of 67%, compared to 33% for Matteo Arnaldi."

For expanded analysis of Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Zverev vs. Arnaldi predictions page.

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Zverev vs. Arnaldi Prediction: Who Will Win?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Zverev-Arnaldi men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Zverev a 67% chance of beating Arnaldi at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.

Additionally, Zverev has a 64% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

Pre-Match Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:17AM, Feb 26
Moneyline
1st Set
AlexanderZverev
Win %
67%
33%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
MatteoArnaldi
AlexanderZverev
Win %
67%
33%
See Matchup
MatteoArnaldi
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Alexander Zverev vs. Matteo Arnaldi Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Zverev Arnaldi
Moneyline -357 +275
First Set -278 +220

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Zverev vs. Arnaldi Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Zverev vs. Arnaldi match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best tennis picks for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Unlock Every ATP Mexico Open Pick

Zverev vs. Arnaldi Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Mexico Open match between Alexander Zverev and Matteo Arnaldi is scheduled to begin on Tuesday at 9:20PM ET.

  • Who: Alexander Zverev vs. Matteo Arnaldi
  • Date: Tuesday, February 25, 2025
  • Approx. Time: 9:20PM ET/6:20PM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Acapulco, Mexico Men's Singles 2025
  • Round: Round of 32

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Tuesday's Zverev vs. Arnaldi match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Alexander Zverev vs. Matteo Arnaldi picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict Alexander Zverev, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat Matteo Arnaldi at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Zverev vs. Arnaldi insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Tennis

Stay up-to-date with the latest tennis news, tennis best bets and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.

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Written by
Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.

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