2024 French Open Best Bets: Carlos Alcaraz, Iga Swiatek Favored to Win at Roland Garros

2024 French Open Best Bets: Carlos Alcaraz, Iga Swiatek Favored to Win at Roland Garros

The 2024 French Open has arrived! From now until June 9th, the best tennis players in the world will compete for glory on the famous clay courts that Rafael Nadal has dominated for the better part of two decades.

Times have changed for Nadal as he's struggled on the surface this year, making the 2024 Men's draw seemingly wide open. On the Women's side, Iga Siwatek is heavy favorite as she eyes a three-peat and her fourth win in the past five editions of the French Open.

Our predictive analytics model has run 1000s of simulations for the 2024 French Open, identifying value plays to win the historic tournament at Roland Garros.

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2024 French Open Tennis Betting Preview

Our best bets are here to help with outright winner picks, but you can find daily bets in individual matches each day of the French Open with our Match Predictionsand our Tennis Best Bets with Dimers Pro.

Dimers' Tennis Rankings for 2024 French Open

Below, you can see our Top 5 ranked men and women's players ahead of the French Open, curated by our own in-house approach to accurately ranking the world's top 100 men's and women's players. Our tennis world rankingsare updated after each ATP, WTA, and Grand Slam tournament.

MORE: Dimer Pro's In-House Tennis Rankings

Who Will Win the 2024 French Open Men's Tournament?

Here are the five most likely winners at Roland Garros in the Men's draw, the result of simulating the tournament 10,000 times via our A.I. models. One thing to note is that DimersBOT only gives nine total players a chance to win the tournament, with the rest all getting a 0% probability. Five of those nine players get a single-digit probability to win.

You can also see our fair odds based on our model's projected probabilities. These will show you whether or not you are getting value in each player.

Carlos Alcaraz
+275 BetMGM
Novak Djokovic
+410 FanDuel
Jannik Sinner
+450 BetMGM
Alexander Zverev
+700 DraftKings
Stefanos Tsitsipas
+850 DraftKings

Who Will Win the 2024 French Open Women's Tournament?

Here are the five most likely winners at Roland Garros in the Women's draw, the result of simulating the tournament 10,000 times via our A.I. models. Ten players get a probability to win, with just two in double digits and a very heavy favorite in Iga Swiatek.

Iga Swiatek
-155 BetMGM
Aryna Sabalenka
+550 FanDuel
Coco Gauff
+1000 BetMGM
Elena Rybakina
+1000 DraftKings
Danielle Collins
+2600 FanDuel

2024 French Open Best Bets to Win

Novak Djokovic (+410 on FanDuel)

There's just one winner bet with value according to our projections and it's our second-most likely winner, Novak Djokovic. Our No. 2 ranked player and the No. 1 seed in the French Open, Djokovic has won this tournament three times - in 2016, 2021 and last year in 2023. In his most recent Grand Slam at the Australian Open, he fell in the semifinals to Jannik Sinner, the No. 2 seed in this tournament.

It's not a huge value play as our fair odds for Djokovic would be +350, but he's even lower than that on other books, so you can see clear value on him with his odds at FanDuel.


Coco Gauff (+1000 on BetMGM)

Two winners in the Women's draw get value to win, the first one being our third-most likely winner of the tournament, American Cori "Coco" Gauff. Her best finish at Roland Garros was in 2022 when she lost in the final to this year's favorite, Iga Switek. Just 20 years old, Gauff has a long and bright future ahead to add to her lone Grand Slam victory, last year's US Open. Gauff's odds here imply a 9% chance to win, which gives us about +100 in value.


Danielle Collins (+2600 on FanDuel)

The 30-year Danielle Collins is set to retire at the end of the year and is going on one heck of a run, winning 21 of her past 23 matches. At her odds of +2600, her implied probability to win is 3.7% while we give her a 4.4% chance. That 0.7% seems slim, but it's the difference between +2600 and +2150. She's made it as far as the quarterfinals in the 2020 edition of the French Open, and this would be her first Grand Slam of her 15 year career. Know that this is a longshot, but the value is there.


These might not be the only value plays on the board, but our selected ones based on what we see in our model. You can check out our full predictions for the 2024 French Open to find your favorite plays.

Dimers and Responsible Gambling

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.

Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, uses his deep knowledge to craft game previews for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. He also brings his expertise to the golf world with tournament previews and parlays for the PGA TOUR and major golf tournaments. Additionally, Dave offers valuable props for NBA, MLB, NHL, and NCAAM basketball, along with best bets for MLB, NHL, and NCAAM. 

When not delving into the world of sports, Dave is an avid advocate for New Haven pizza, enjoys reading comic books, gardening, and spending time with his cats. His broad interests and detailed sports insights ensure that his contributions are both engaging and informative.

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