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Sporting KC vs. Guadalajara Chivas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Sporting KC vs. Guadalajara Chivas at the SLC on July 31, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Sporting KC
1
0
Aug 1, 2AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Guadalajara Chivas
Aug 1, 2AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Guadalajara ChivasGCH
Score Summary
Sporting KCSKC
J. Russell (27')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
SKC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Yellow Card
C. Calderon (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: I. Brizuela replaces A. Mozo
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Cisneros replaces R. Marin
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: D. Salloi replaces K. Shelton
67'
Yellow Card
A. Briseno (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: P. Perez replaces E. Gutierrez
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Padilla replaces V. Guzman
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: R. Espinoza replaces F. Gutierrez
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Brigido replaces A. Vega
56'
Yellow Card
E. Gutierrez (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
27'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by J. Russell, assisted by E. Thommy
1-0

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Sporting KC vs. Guadalajara Chivas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Sporting KC vs. Guadalajara Chivas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all SLC matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Sporting KC vs. Guadalajara Chivas
  • Date: Monday, July 31, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Children's Mercy Park
  • Tournament: SLC

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sporting KC +165, Guadalajara Chivas +135, draw +240
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-138/+100)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Sporting KC: 33.0%
  • Guadalajara Chivas: 41.6%
  • Draw: 25.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Sporting KC 1-1 Guadalajara Chivas, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Sporting KC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 33.0% probability, while Guadalajara Chivas sits at 41.6%, with the draw at 25.4%.

For full access to SLC predictions, probabilities, and tools such as SLC best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Sporting KC vs. Guadalajara Chivas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the SLC and the latest SLC news.

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