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Colorado vs. Toluca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Colorado vs. Toluca at the SLC on July 31, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Colorado
1
4
Aug 1, 1:30AM Dick's Sporting Goods Park (Commerce City, Colorado)
Toluca
Aug 1, 1:30AM Dick's Sporting Goods Park (Commerce City, Colorado)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TolucaTOL
Score Summary
ColoradoCOL
Pedro Raul (45')
Soccer ball icon
E. I. Lopez Rodriguez (76')
Soccer ball icon
J. Angulo (90')
Soccer ball icon
V. Huerta (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
D. Rubio (pen.) (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
COL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Colorado Rapids by D. Rubio (pen.)
1-2
90'
Yellow Card
J. Pinuelas (Toluca) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: A. Mosquera replaces J. Pinuelas
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by J. Angulo, assisted by J. Meneses
1-3
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by V. Huerta (pen.)
1-4
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: M. Isais replaces Pedro Raul
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces M. Araujo
82'
Yellow Card
R. Priso-Mbongue (Colorado Rapids) cautioned
80'
Yellow Card
C. Baeza (Toluca) cautioned
76'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by E. I. Lopez Rodriguez, assisted by J. Pinuelas
0-2
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Colorado Rapids: S. Nicholson replaces B. A. Galvan
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Colorado Rapids: K. Cabral replaces C. Bassett
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Baeza replaces M. Ruiz
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: E. I. Lopez Rodriguez replaces R. Morales
65'
Yellow Card
B. A. Galvan (Colorado Rapids) cautioned
59'
Yellow Card
M. Ruiz (Toluca) cautioned
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Colorado Rapids: M. Barrios replaces C. Harris
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Colorado Rapids: R. Priso-Mbongue replaces D. Leyva
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Colorado Rapids: D. Rubio replaces D. Wilson
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toluca by Pedro Raul, assisted by B. A. Garcia Caprizo
0-1
21'
Yellow Card
D. Wilson (Colorado Rapids) cautioned

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Colorado vs. Toluca: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Colorado vs. Toluca prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all SLC matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Colorado vs. Toluca
  • Date: Monday, July 31, 2023
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Dick's Sporting Goods Park
  • Tournament: SLC

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Colorado +200, Toluca +120, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-165/+120)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Colorado: 27.7%
  • Toluca: 47.7%
  • Draw: 24.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Colorado 1-1 Toluca, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Colorado is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 27.7% probability, while Toluca sits at 47.7%, with the draw at 24.6%.

For full access to SLC predictions, probabilities, and tools such as SLC best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Colorado vs. Toluca prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the SLC and the latest SLC news.

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