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Portland vs. Minnesota Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Portland vs. Minnesota at the MLS on May 18, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Portland
1
2
May 19, 12:30AM Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
Minnesota
May 19, 12:30AM Allianz Field (Saint Paul, Minnesota)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MinnesotaMIN
Score Summary
PortlandPOR
R. Lod (65')
Soccer ball icon
S. Jeong (82')
Soccer ball icon
M. Tapias (90')
Red Card icon
J. Rodriguez (17')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MIN
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
POR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
M. Tapias (Minnesota United) sent off for a second yellow card
90'
Yellow Card
W. Trapp (Minnesota United) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: Nathan Fogaca replaces M. Araujo
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: E. Williamson replaces D. Asprilla
82'
Yellow Card
D. Asprilla (Portland Timbers) cautioned
82'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Minnesota United by S. Jeong, assisted by D. Taylor
1-2
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: D. Taylor replaces T. Pukki
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: Antony replaces D. Ayala
68'
Yellow Card
M. Araujo (Portland Timbers) cautioned
67'
Yellow Card
D. Chara (Portland Timbers) cautioned
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Minnesota United by R. Lod, assisted by J. Rosales
1-1
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: D. Chara replaces C. Paredes
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Portland Timbers: E. Miller replaces F. Mora
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: R. Lod replaces C. Harvey
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: S. Jeong replaces F. Fragapane
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: T. Oluwaseyi replaces B. Hlongwane
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: K. Arriaga replaces C. Clark
44'
Yellow Card
Evander (Portland Timbers) cautioned
42'
Yellow Card
M. Tapias (Minnesota United) cautioned
42'
Yellow Card
J. Rodriguez (Portland Timbers) cautioned
17'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Portland Timbers by J. Rodriguez, assisted by D. Ayala
1-0

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Portland vs. Minnesota: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Portland vs. Minnesota prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Portland vs. Minnesota
  • Date: Saturday, May 18, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Allianz Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Portland +330, Minnesota -135, draw +340

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Portland: 21.5%
  • Minnesota: 58.5%
  • Draw: 20.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Portland 1-2 Minnesota, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Portland is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 21.5% probability, while Minnesota sits at 58.5%, with the draw at 20.0%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Portland vs. Minnesota prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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