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Sporting KC vs. Austin Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Sporting KC vs. Austin at the MLS on May 18, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Sporting KC
2
3
May 19, 12:30AM Q2 Stadium (Austin, Texas)
Austin
May 19, 12:30AM Q2 Stadium (Austin, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AustinAUS
Score Summary
Sporting KCSKC
J. Obrian (28')
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J. Obrian (39')
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S. Driussi (46')
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J. Russell (19')
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J. Davis (63')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
AUS
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SKC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Valencia (Austin FC) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
N. Radoja (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
89'
Yellow Card
D. Pereira (Austin FC) cautioned
88'
Yellow Card
A. Fontas (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: M. Hedges replaces S. Driussi
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Afrifa replaces J. Russell
82'
Penalty missed by S. Driussi for Austin FC
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: A. Ring replaces O. Wolff
70'
Yellow Card
B. Hines-Ike (Austin FC) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: E. Finlay replaces J. Obrian
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: W. Agada replaces D. Salloi
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Tzionis replaces A. Pulido
63'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by J. Davis
2-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: G. Zardes replaces D. Rubio
46'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Austin FC by S. Driussi, assisted by G. Zardes
1-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: L. Vaisanen replaces J. Cascante
39'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Austin FC by J. Obrian, assisted by D. Pereira
1-2
28'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Austin FC by J. Obrian, assisted by D. Pereira
1-1
23'
Yellow Card
J. Cascante (Austin FC) cautioned
19'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by J. Russell, assisted by A. Pulido
1-0

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Sporting KC vs. Austin: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Sporting KC vs. Austin prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Sporting KC vs. Austin
  • Date: Saturday, May 18, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Q2 Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sporting KC +245, Austin +110, draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-128/+106)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Sporting KC: 27.6%
  • Austin: 49.2%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Sporting KC 1-1 Austin, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Sporting KC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 27.6% probability, while Austin sits at 49.2%, with the draw at 23.3%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Sporting KC vs. Austin prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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