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LAFC vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for LAFC vs. St Louis City at the MLS on May 15, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LAFC
2
0
May 16, 12:30AM CITYPARK (St. Louis, Missouri)
St Louis City
May 16, 12:30AM CITYPARK (St. Louis, Missouri)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
LAFCLAFC
A. Markanich (77')
Red Card icon
D. Bouanga (59')
Soccer ball icon
D. Bouanga (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
STL
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
LAFC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
I. Vassilev (St. Louis City) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by D. Bouanga
2-0
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: M. Chanot replaces M. Bogusz
86'
Yellow Card
E. Duenas (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
A. Jackson (St. Louis City) cautioned
82'
Yellow Card
N. Blom (St. Louis City) cautioned
79'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: N. Thorisson replaces R. Alm
77'
Red Card
A. Markanich (St. Louis City) sent off for a second yellow card
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: E. Duenas replaces E. Atuesta
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Los Angeles FC: I. Sanchez replaces K. Kamara
64'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Adeniran replaces Joao Klauss
64'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Jackson replaces C. Pompeu
64'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: N. Blom replaces T. Ostrak
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Los Angeles FC by D. Bouanga, assisted by M. Bogusz
1-0
58'
Yellow Card
C. Pompeu (St. Louis City) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: K. Hiebert replaces J. Nilsson
45'
Yellow Card
T. Tillman (Los Angeles FC) cautioned
26'
Yellow Card
A. Markanich (St. Louis City) cautioned
16'
Penalty missed by Joao Klauss for St. Louis City

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LAFC vs. St Louis City: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' LAFC vs. St Louis City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: LAFC vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Wednesday, May 15, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: CITYPARK
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LAFC +163, St Louis City +160, draw +280

Dimers' win probabilities

  • LAFC: 31.3%
  • St Louis City: 45.5%
  • Draw: 23.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is LAFC 1-1 St Louis City, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

LAFC is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 31.3% probability, while St Louis City sits at 45.5%, with the draw at 23.2%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' LAFC vs. St Louis City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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