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NY City vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for NY City vs. Philadelphia at the MLS on May 15, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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NY City
2
1
May 15, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
Philadelphia
May 15, 11:30PM Subaru Park (Chester, Pennsylvania)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
NY CityNYC
J. Carranza (48')
Soccer ball icon
A. Martinez (2')
Soccer ball icon
H. Wolf (45')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PHI
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NYC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
M. Jones (New York City) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: T. Gray replaces H. Wolf
87'
Yellow Card
M. Bakrar (New York City) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Martinez replaces N. Harriel
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: O. Mbaizo replaces L. Flach
78'
Yellow Card
A. Perea (New York City) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: J. Haak replaces S. Rodriguez
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces Q. Sullivan
71'
Yellow Card
J. Elliott (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: M. Jones replaces A. A. Ojeda
68'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: M. Bakrar replaces A. Martinez
62'
Yellow Card
A. A. Ojeda (New York City) cautioned
51'
Yellow Card
S. Rodriguez (New York City) cautioned
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by J. Carranza, assisted by J. McGlynn
2-1
45'
Yellow Card
K. Wagner (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by H. Wolf
2-0
2'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by A. Martinez
1-0

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NY City vs. Philadelphia: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' NY City vs. Philadelphia prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: NY City vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Wednesday, May 15, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY City +285, Philadelphia -110, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-143/+124)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • NY City: 22.9%
  • Philadelphia: 53.8%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is NY City 1-1 Philadelphia, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

NY City is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 22.9% probability, while Philadelphia sits at 53.8%, with the draw at 23.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' NY City vs. Philadelphia prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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