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Chicago vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Chicago vs. St Louis City at the MLS on May 11, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS
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May 12, 12:30AM CITYPARK (St. Louis, Missouri)
May 12, 12:30AM CITYPARK (St. Louis, Missouri)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
R. Alm (2')
Joao Klauss (56')
Joao Klauss (67')
H. Cuypers (46')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
C. Teran (Chicago Fire) cautioned
Substitution for St. Louis City: H. Kijima replaces T. Ostrak
Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces K. Acosta
Substitution for St. Louis City: N. Thorisson replaces C. Pompeu
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Nilsson replaces A. Markanich
Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Jackson replaces Joao Klauss
Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces C. Mueller
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Adeniran replaces R. Alm
Substitution for Chicago Fire: R. Czichos replaces M. Pineda
Goal scored for St. Louis City by Joao Klauss, assisted by C. Durkin
1-3
Substitution for Chicago Fire: A. Souquet replaces A. Arigoni
X. Shaqiri (Chicago Fire) cautioned
Goal scored for St. Louis City by Joao Klauss, assisted by C. Pompeu
1-2
Substitution for Chicago Fire: F. Navarro replaces F. Herbers
Goal scored for Chicago Fire by H. Cuypers, assisted by A. Gutman
1-1
R. Alm (St. Louis City) cautioned
F. Herbers (Chicago Fire) cautioned
Goal scored for St. Louis City by R. Alm
0-1
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Chicago vs. St Louis City: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Chicago vs. St Louis City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Chicago vs. St Louis City
- Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: CITYPARK
- Tournament: MLS
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Chicago +850, St Louis City -145, draw +500
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-175/+140)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Chicago: 17.8%
- St Louis City: 61.2%
- Draw: 20.9%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chicago 0-2 St Louis City, with a probability of 10%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Chicago is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 17.8% probability, while St Louis City sits at 61.2%, with the draw at 20.9%.
For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Chicago vs. St Louis City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.
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