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Austin vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Austin vs. Dallas at the MLS on May 11, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Austin
1
2
May 12, 12:30AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
Dallas
May 12, 12:30AM Toyota Stadium (Frisco, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
DallasFCD
Score Summary
AustinAUS
P. Musa (4')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ferreira (56')
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S. Driussi (pen.) (84')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
FCD
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
AUS
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Austin FC by S. Driussi (pen.)
1-2
84'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: H. Endeley replaces T. Ntsabeleng
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: J. Valencia replaces D. Pereira
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: C. Fodrey replaces J. Obrian
72'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: B. Kamungo replaces P. Musa
71'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces J. Ferreira
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: G. Zardes replaces D. Rubio
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: O. Wolff replaces A. Ring
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Austin FC: Z. Kolmanic replaces Guilherme Biro
56'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by J. Ferreira, assisted by P. Musa
0-2
48'
Yellow Card
T. Ntsabeleng (FC Dallas) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: P. Delgado replaces A. Illarramendi
43'
Yellow Card
L. Fraser (FC Dallas) cautioned
15'
Yellow Card
D. Pereira (Austin FC) cautioned
8'
Yellow Card
A. Illarramendi (FC Dallas) cautioned
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa
0-1

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Austin vs. Dallas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Austin vs. Dallas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Austin vs. Dallas
  • Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Austin +290, Dallas -105, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Austin: 27.0%
  • Dallas: 47.2%
  • Draw: 25.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Austin 1-1 Dallas, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Austin is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 27.0% probability, while Dallas sits at 47.2%, with the draw at 25.8%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Austin vs. Dallas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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