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New England vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for New England vs. Chicago at the MLS on May 4, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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New England
1
0
May 5, 12:30AM Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
Chicago
May 5, 12:30AM Soldier Field (Chicago, Illinois)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
New EnglandNE
T. Chancalay (62')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CHI
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NE
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: D. Romney replaces X. Arreaga
90'
Yellow Card
A. Ivacic (New England Revolution) cautioned
83'
Yellow Card
A. Arigoni (Chicago Fire) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: N. Buck replaces G. Vrioni
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: G. Gimenez replaces F. Herbers
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: O. Glasgow replaces B. Gutierrez
75'
Substitution
Substitution for New England Revolution: D. Borrero replaces E. Bajraktarevic
72'
Yellow Card
T. Chancalay (New England Revolution) cautioned
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: X. Shaqiri replaces C. Mueller
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: T. Barlow replaces G. Koutsias
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New England Revolution by T. Chancalay
1-0
53'
Substitution
Substitution for Chicago Fire: C. Teran replaces R. Czichos
50'
Yellow Card
N. Lima (New England Revolution) cautioned
22'
Yellow Card
H. Kessler (New England Revolution) cautioned

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New England vs. Chicago: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' New England vs. Chicago prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: New England vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: New England +320, Chicago -125, draw +295
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-159/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • New England: 24.8%
  • Chicago: 51.8%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is New England 1-1 Chicago, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

New England is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 24.8% probability, while Chicago sits at 51.8%, with the draw at 23.4%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' New England vs. Chicago prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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