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St Louis City vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for St Louis City vs. Houston at the MLS on May 4, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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St Louis City
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May 5, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
Houston
May 5, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
HOU
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
STL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: B. Smith replaces A. Ibrahim
88'
Yellow Card
A. Jackson (St. Louis City) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
T. Schmitt (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Nilsson replaces T. Totland
82'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: N. Thorisson replaces Joao Klauss
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: S. Ferreira replaces S. Kowalczyk
75'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: H. Kijima replaces T. Ostrak
74'
Yellow Card
T. Ostrak (St. Louis City) cautioned
64'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Adeniran replaces R. Alm
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: L. Blessing replaces H. Herrera
46'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Jackson replaces C. Pompeu

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St Louis City vs. Houston: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Houston prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +270, Houston +102, draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-112/-105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • St Louis City: 26.9%
  • Houston: 48.1%
  • Draw: 25.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is St Louis City 1-1 Houston, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 26.9% probability, while Houston sits at 48.1%, with the draw at 25.1%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' St Louis City vs. Houston prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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