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D.C. United vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for D.C. United vs. NY City at the MLS on March 18, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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D.C. United
2
3
Mar 18, 11:30PM Yankee Stadium (New York City)
NY City
Mar 18, 11:30PM Yankee Stadium (New York City)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
D.C. UnitedDC
Talles Magno (17')
Soccer ball icon
S. Rodriguez (37')
Soccer ball icon
Thiago Andrade (88')
Soccer ball icon
C. Benteke (46')
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S. Birnbaum (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NYC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
DC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by S. Birnbaum, assisted by M. Klich
2-3
88'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by Thiago Andrade, assisted by S. Rodriguez
1-3
80'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: Thiago Andrade replaces Talles Magno
78'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: Y. Asad replaces P. Santos
73'
Yellow Card
M. Pellegrini (New York City) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for New York City: A. Morales replaces Gabriel Pereira
60'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: M. Akinmboni replaces M. Jeahze
58'
Yellow Card
M. Jeahze (DC United) cautioned
53'
Yellow Card
S. Rodriguez (New York City) cautioned
49'
Yellow Card
V. Palsson (DC United) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Greene replaces Ruan
46'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: P. Santos replaces N. Robertha
46'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: V. Palsson replaces R. Canouse
46'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by C. Benteke, assisted by M. Klich
1-2
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by S. Rodriguez, assisted by Gabriel Pereira
0-2
17'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York City by Talles Magno
0-1
8'
Yellow Card
R. Canouse (DC United) cautioned

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D.C. United vs. NY City: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' D.C. United vs. NY City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: D.C. United vs. NY City
  • Date: Saturday, March 18, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: D.C. United +400, NY City -135, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-106/-114)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • D.C. United: 16.5%
  • NY City: 61.9%
  • Draw: 21.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is D.C. United 0-1 NY City, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

D.C. United is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 16.5% probability, while NY City sits at 61.9%, with the draw at 21.7%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' D.C. United vs. NY City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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