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Miami vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Miami vs. Toronto at the MLS on March 18, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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MLS
Miami
0
2
Mar 18, 11:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
Toronto
Mar 18, 11:30PM BMO Field (Toronto, Ontario)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
J. Osorio (47')
Soccer ball icon
M. Kaye (69')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOR
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MIA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: V. Vazquez replaces F. Bernardeschi
83'
Yellow Card
R. Taylor (Inter Miami) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: A. Lassiter replaces Jean Mota
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: B. Cremaschi replaces B. Duke
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: V. Ulloa replaces H. Neville
69'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toronto FC by M. Kaye
0-2
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Inter Miami: R. Taylor replaces R. Pizarro
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Akinola replaces D. Kerr
49'
Yellow Card
R. Laryea (Toronto FC) cautioned
47'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toronto FC by J. Osorio
0-1
15'
Yellow Card
M. Bradley (Toronto FC) cautioned

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Miami vs. Toronto: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Miami vs. Toronto prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. Toronto
  • Date: Saturday, March 18, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami +240, Toronto +120, draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-122/+100)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Miami: 31.2%
  • Toronto: 44.7%
  • Draw: 24.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Miami 1-1 Toronto, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Miami is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 31.2% probability, while Toronto sits at 44.7%, with the draw at 24.1%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Miami vs. Toronto prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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