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Orlando vs. D.C. United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Orlando vs. D.C. United at the MLS on March 11, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Orlando
1
:
1
Mar 12, 12:30AM Audi Field (Washington, District of Columbia)
D.C. United
Mar 12, 12:30AM Audi Field (Washington, District of Columbia)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
D.C. UnitedDC
Score Summary
OrlandoORL
C. Durkin (80')
Soccer ball icon
D. McGuire (53')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
DC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ORL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: K. Fletcher replaces C. Durkin
87'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: J. Hopkins replaces P. Santos
87'
Yellow Card
Ruan (DC United) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: M. Halliday replaces K. Smith
80'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for DC United by C. Durkin, assisted by P. Santos
1-1
77'
Yellow Card
K. Smith (Orlando City) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: G. Gonzalez replaces I. Angulo
65'
Yellow Card
Y. Asad (DC United) cautioned
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: C. Araujo replaces M. Pereyra
59'
Substitution
Substitution for DC United: Y. Asad replaces T. Ku-DiPietro
53'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Orlando City by D. McGuire
1-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: M. Ojeda replaces F. Torres
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: R. Jansson replaces A. Salim

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Orlando vs. D.C. United: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Orlando vs. D.C. United prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Orlando vs. D.C. United
  • Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Audi Field
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Orlando +390, D.C. United +100, draw +220

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Orlando: 29.3%
  • D.C. United: 45.0%
  • Draw: 25.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Orlando 1-1 D.C. United, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Orlando is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 29.3% probability, while D.C. United sits at 45.0%, with the draw at 25.7%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Orlando vs. D.C. United prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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