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Houston vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Houston vs. Cincinnati at the MLS on February 25, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Houston
1
2
Feb 26, 12:30AM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
Cincinnati
Feb 26, 12:30AM TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
S. Santos (19')
Soccer ball icon
O. Nwobodo (48')
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T. Schmitt (45')
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Live Probabilities
90 Mins
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CIN
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
HOU
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: B. Raines replaces I. Franco
87'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: R. Gaddis replaces A. Barreal
87'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Powell replaces S. Arias
87'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: Y. Kubo replaces O. Nwobodo
81'
Yellow Card
T. Schmitt (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: T. Ulfarsson replaces S. Ferreira
73'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: I. Murphy replaces Y. Mosquera
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Quinones replaces C. Baird
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: G. Dorsey replaces F. Escobar
62'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: Brenner replaces S. Santos
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by O. Nwobodo
1-2
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by T. Schmitt, assisted by H. Herrera
1-1
19'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by S. Santos, assisted by A. Barreal
0-1
10'
Yellow Card
Artur (Houston Dynamo) cautioned

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Houston vs. Cincinnati: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Houston vs. Cincinnati prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Saturday, February 25, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston +460, Cincinnati -161, draw +380
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-148/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Houston: 17.5%
  • Cincinnati: 63.3%
  • Draw: 19.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Houston 1-2 Cincinnati, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Houston is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 17.5% probability, while Cincinnati sits at 63.3%, with the draw at 19.2%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Houston vs. Cincinnati prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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