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San Jose vs. Atlanta Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for San Jose vs. Atlanta at the MLS on February 25, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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San Jose
1
2
Feb 26, 12:30AM Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
Atlanta
Feb 26, 12:30AM Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AtlantaATL
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
T. Almada (90')
Soccer ball icon
T. Almada (90')
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J. Ebobisse (12')
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Live Probabilities
90 Mins
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
SJ
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
B. Kikanovic (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
F. Ibarra (Atlanta Utd) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by T. Almada, assisted by B. Lennon
1-1
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atlanta Utd by T. Almada
1-2
85'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: T. Beason replaces M. Trauco
85'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces C. Espinoza
85'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: M. Baldisimo replaces J. Monteiro
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: A. Sejdic replaces M. Rossetto
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: L. Abram replaces J. Sanchez
69'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: B. Kikanovic replaces C. Cowell
61'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: C. Akapo replaces P. Marie
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: D. Etienne replaces C. Wiley
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Atlanta Utd: M. Berry replaces J. Conway
39'
Penalty missed by Luiz Araujo for Atlanta Utd
13'
Yellow Card
C. Gruezo (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Ebobisse
1-0

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San Jose vs. Atlanta: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' San Jose vs. Atlanta prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. Atlanta
  • Date: Saturday, February 25, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose +440, Atlanta -175, draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-161/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • San Jose: 18.7%
  • Atlanta: 61.0%
  • Draw: 20.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is San Jose 1-2 Atlanta, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

San Jose is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 18.7% probability, while Atlanta sits at 61.0%, with the draw at 20.3%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' San Jose vs. Atlanta prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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